VROCKSTAR

VROCKSTAR

12/26/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:RGTI FAFO $15. 200x sales. Short. - you guys know my thoughts on quantum per a few recent posts on NASDAQ:QUBT (lol) and OTC:BTQQF (long, but measured). - but C-tier garbage like NASDAQ:RGTI at 200x next year's sales and having missed missed missed (they do deliver pressers though!) might take a dump in your new year's...

VROCKSTAR

12/26/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:RZLV Need more developments. - ai chatbot co for e-commerce - reminds a bit of NASDAQ:LPSN 's attempt (too bad they never figured it out) - i'm skeptical this product can't easily be built in house (and already is) by names like NASDAQ:AMZN , NYSE:SHOP , etc. so today it seems more like a "feature" than a moat-style AI...

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12/23/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:LYFT Buy $13, impossible to ignore - while we all reflect on the year past, it's time to start preparing for the '25 book (and we have been). - uber remains one of my fav (misunderstood) plays heading into january. but when you look at valuation and recent beats of much smaller competitor, lyft, it's impossible to ignore at...

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12/20/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: OTC:BTQQF I own a small amt at $2, but complicated - canadian quantum company focused on near term use cases, including chips (partner of NYSE:TSM one of my favorites) as well as IDX:STRK (starkware - a leading zk L2 on CRYPTOCAP:ETH ). - the CEO seems like a smart guy. i don't get scammy vibes from him - stock simply popped bc...

VROCKSTAR

12/20/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:VTEX Patience paid. 50 bps @5.74 - buying anything sub $1 bn and nevermind "brazilian" is a big ask in my book - but i love this mgmt team and the biz is growing easily teens bc they have solid B2B customers (who use VTEX to build their site/ payments etc. for instance samsung in latam uses VTEX to run their consumer facing...

VROCKSTAR

12/20/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:AMD upside > downside at $120 taking a 1Y view - tough call here b/c sentiment is so stretched - thought this take was a pretty sober take on the situation and paints a really interesting angle. tl;dr that amd has something special and we've not yet seen the extent of their stretching their wings x.com - i'd point out at low...

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12/2/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:NU Bot $12, load closer to $10 if/when - is one of the three stonks in latam that i've commented in the past is worth keeping a v close eye on b/c of the growth rates and tremendous product. the others are NASDAQ:MELI and NASDAQ:DLO (the latter of which worked out nicely and we made a good exit earlier this year from the lows,...

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11/7/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: $ IDX:BIRD More interested $7-8/shr - mgmt is operating on their own time - beyond M&A, it's hard to see how stock really moves higher in the 3-6 month timeframe, unless it catches some momentum in this whacky environment where rando-stuff-moon. but i'd not bet my dog's tennis ball on it - basically mgmt "taking right" actions still e.g....

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- by now it should be obvious that this isn't "normal" (hasn't been for over a decade, but esp in the last year). M2 turned positive and risk assets followed especially as labor mkt data started "allowing" fed to cut - but remember, inflation gauges are heading higher. oil probably only has one direction (energy is a big driver) and consumers are ape'ing on...

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- momentum is king - but if you've made money, a/ congrats AF and b/ pay yourself - of the quantum names i've tracked (you know the usual suspects, only NYSE:IONQ is legit, the others are varying levels of suck but NYSE:QBTS and NASDAQ:RGTI are better than $arqq...) BUT... - ... NASDAQ:QUBT is basically a goose egg. a donut. a bagel. - so yeah. funding...

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12/9/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:GNSS Add this to "martial law" list - financials r kind of ambiguous and consensus looks like a monkey and dart board situation e.g. the revenue growth. - but i'm starting a new watchlist called "martial law" includes a bunch of stuff that probably rips on some freak event. i typically build these lists ahead of time just so i...

VROCKSTAR

12/9/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:MDB Tough to own >$300. Gl but sidelines. - Over 10x sales for ~20% top line growth? profitability climbing, but not in the way a 25-30% grower would do. TL;DR here is you need a growth SPIKE to really re-rate this thing. - options chain pricing in quite a dramatic move. while i've gotten semi-smacked lately shorting, (though...

VROCKSTAR

12/9/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:CXDO Interesting at $5 but prefer <$4.5 - pitched this one and find the biz def'n worthy of my watchlist (albeit not top of list). - net cash, small cash generator and growing this cash generation (about 7 mm FCF on a mid 120s mm EV is about a 5+% FCF yield - that works). - such that the 10% top line growth is met (and this is...

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- a name i've written most about - have traded it around, but remained pretty large (since the big eps pop i've taken some off the table to play some btc related stuff, some win's, some L's across the board) - but at this level ~50% retrace from pre-EPS to post-EPS peak, you're looking at $6 of upside/ vs $6 of downside. why this is important is that this is a...

VROCKSTAR Updated 

12/5/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:PLTR Aping on the 2027 $60 calls. - stock acting like the united healthcare CEO got whacked by one of their drivers and we're all about to find out. too soon? - at 7 bn FCF generation on 143 bn EV... that's 5% yield, grows 15-20% a year (FCF gen). we're already in value territory, the question is what's the reason for this wicked...

VROCKSTAR

12/5/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:TMDX I'm back... buying sub $70 - check out last post when i opportunistically bot this thing - some Q's on last call ppl pointing out about "seasonality" being a bit sus. interesting. yeah CEO did act a bit defensive and i don't have context or know the chad - but growth remains solid, PE a bit high but for that growth (if just a...

VROCKSTAR

12/4/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:BASE M&A tgt in '25 at this px... buy - really niche wrench in the tech toolbox product, don't love putting M&A into my investment thesis (b/c "great" if does, but it feels too "hopeful" to include these scenarios and i tend toward conservatism) - but realistically, 15% growth on the topline is inflation+ (the way i measure...

VROCKSTAR

12/4/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:TEAM Grotesque. Max short. - going to need a beer after all these vigilante shorts this year, but it's what keeps my greys poppin' and lockin' - 60x PE and >15x sales for maybe 20% growth and a ton of SBC on mediocre last Q's result (+50% since) is par for the casino. - but today's "we integrate with AWS" headline reminds me of...