ValuePig

ValuePig

do we really need people to make more income for the stock market to go up? SPX SPY

ValuePig

Looking to work on a model for real estate cycles. Using median home prices divided by median income. IYR REZ XHB

ValuePig

Bulls take a position, get trapped; bears jump in and get trapped as well. A coil. Stops are placed. As they should. If the coil breaks out, half the crowd will quickly be wrong and bail. The market will eventually pick a way, discover price. Up down, cant do sideways forever. Crypto is rising, cpi is slowing. gasoline is cheaper. Cnn sentiment index is at...

17:17

ValuePig

When in doubt, choose positive carry. Dividend paying companies that are lagging. Good and bad. Good because they are priced with less optimism. Bad because the price my correctly reelect to opportunity going going forward. Either way, I like looking at dogs of the dow and dogs of the sp500 to do research. Ive found many gems that way, even if I choose not...

ValuePig

Apple is the last general standing. Can they really be immune to a slow down....forever?

ValuePig

Historically, gold and gold related stocks dont do well until the money supply needs to be expanded. When the central bank decides they need more printing and more debt, they devalue the dollar and tax the holder of currency. US debt and m2 is so large relative to the GDP, the central banks will need to relieve the bottleneck of money and increase money...

11:18

ValuePig

Home loans, credit card loans, student loans, pay day loans, insurance, annuities, derivatives, pension funds, bond markets. Crypto and the stock market combined are no match for the world debt mountain. #investing #debt

ValuePig

Dow to gold and dow to silver ratios have been used historically to keep track of inflation adjusted stock indices. Precious metals tend to keep up with stock indices. So when stocks start to price out expensive with limited forward growth, precious metals tend to outperform as central banks will need to increase money supply to re-stimulate after the inevitable...

11:48

ValuePig

Future prices are unknowable and unpredictable. But measuring current conditions and valuations are informative. Tracking vix volatility and using it to make better decisions in my experience has been helpful. Warning: Avoid buying options are generally costly. Options are a form of borrowing money to use leverage provided by an option seller.

09:13

ValuePig

ARVL stock rocketed 100% today alone. The move might be explained by the fact that the marketcap was trading below "net liquidation value". Net net stocks, or stocks trading below liquidation value, is a strategy used by Benjamin Graham who also taught Warren Buffett how to use the strategy. Small cap stocks and penny stocks are extremely risky. You can and...

19:35

ValuePig

Even if you never bought an ounce of the shiny yellow rock, Gold can gives us valuable information over time. The fact that gold was literally money for much of the worlds history and that banks still hold should tell you it still matters. Lets discuss gold concepts and make sure we stay aware of how gold has behaved in the past. hope you enjoy the video!

62:22

ValuePig

checking the ratios and valuations of the market.

03:10

ValuePig

Vix measures option premium levels and is associated with large fear uncertain times. Bottoms in markets often have high vix level indicating investors desire for protection and large moves in the market.

17:49

ValuePig

We live in a dollar matrix, a world we can feel but have trouble understanding. We have learned that things go up over time, but we don't know why. Why do things go up and sometimes also go down. Valuation is a lie detector. We should seek truth. Stocks dont always go straight up. Gold is just scare shiny rock. Dollars are debt instruments and promises for...

80:54

ValuePig

big move in tesla 12% ish and apple almost down 4%

ValuePig

Every bubble must base. Market manias will never cease to exist, because its a symptom of human behavior. Old buyers will be supply. The stock will bottom when every seller is done selling. Unpopular assets with positive cashflow are better than popular assets with small cashflows. Even a dead cat will bounce. Buy hockey sticks bottoms. 2nd mouse gets the...

ValuePig

Charts and financials, are great , super useful, would never trade/invest without them. However, they are rear view mirrors, as in they show us only the past. We have no crystal ball. If we go into recession, the past growth will be misleading. keep that in mind. We value the earning power of each business, but we should not ignore that markets are...

14:31

ValuePig

Ive seen this movie before, and I love thats its playing again. The economy goes through cycles and its rhyming like other times. Its never the same, lets be clear about that. But expensive things get cheaper when the economy slows down because people will need their money for the hard times that may come. Its that simple. Learning to read financial statements...