financial fundamentals is the key. focusing on the picture on the charts is not enough. These are real assets with real financial flows. The shape of the picture is not enough. Youll have to bust out your calculator and do some old school work.
Following ARKK to see when the selling in the bear market will end and hope to pick out from the carcass. Earnings expectations have come down on many names but the broad market as measured by sp500 is still expecting growth for the forward years. If we do get recession, the Earnings forward expectations may have to change. ARKK IWF SNAP PLTR BTCUSD SPY DIA
CNN business has a wonderful fear and greed indicator. I love it. So I made my own version to track real time sentiment. Im using junk bonds prices - vix volatility to mimic cnn's version. DIA AAPL GOOGL MSFT TSLA
financialized markets all move together in times of liquidity panics. Thats why we must pay attention when we hear of certain market going wild in large percentage moves. FTT token may not matter to everyone, but it matters if it gives us an insight to market mechanics that affect everyone. Crypto liquidity panics will harm investor trust and sentiment. Losses...
In last 20 years, apple stock has 'bottomed' out at earning yields in the 6-10% range. However, in the past it was a smaller company with a high growth rate potential. Current earnings yields on apple are in the 4% range and now its a near 3 trillion dollar company. I dont know if thats an apples to apples comparison ;) NASDAQ:AAPL QQQ MSFT
Options are leverage on stock, leverage, "aka" gearing, is a loan. The option extrinsic premium is a form of interest on the leverage. The strike price tells you the amount of leverage your are using relative to buying outright shares. If you are not careful, you might inadvertently end up paying crazy high rates of annualize interest. Options sellers know this,...
Stocks at current prices are not compensation investors for potential risk, especially now that growth may be reduced and yields are more competitive. There is not enough risk premium for the large cap leaders. You deserver better! AAPL MSFT GOOG META TSLA AMZN QQQ SPY DIA
Meta stock was once a 30 percent grower with a high PE and high Price to sales. But now has become a 10 pe value stock. Sp500 has an 18 PE is pricing in 9-10 % growth in 2023. META SPY SNAP GOOG
Investors continue to prefer dow jones index over nasdaq index. historically, when this occurred before it was signaling lack of growth and avoidance of risk. The bear market of 2000 hurt less in the dow names, while also providing cashflow dividend income. DIA QQQ AAPL INTC
Meta missed earnings by 11%, fx and less ads revenue hurt, as well as revenue decline from reality labs. Ads decline and fx effects from strong dollar seem to have hurt most companies so far. These large caps are the biggest and leaders. What could this mean for the rest of the economy and small stocks? NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:GOOG MSFT AMZN TSLA META
sp500 growth and nasdaq growth assumptions for next year are coming down. We have only seen slight earnings revisions. So the declines we have seen now are only from reduced growth rates expectations.
big move today for splash beverage. the beverage brand owner recently raised money by selling shares and that dropped to stock significantly. company still loses money but hopes to break even cashflow in next years.
with rates rising to fight rising costs, stock earnings yields might need to rise to compensate investors for the risk. shown in the videos are some historical earnings yields, dividend yields, and shiller PE ratios. NASDAQ:AAPL AMEX:SPY SP:SPX NASDAQ:MSFT
Elon Musk the story teller is predicting that one day in the future Tesla will be bigger than Apple and Saudi Aramco combined. Apple and Saudi Aramco currently are valued around 4.4 trillion dollars while tesla is approximately 690 billion. TESLA AAPL SPY
Dont be fooled by the sell off in the market, we can always go lower. Charts alone will trick us into buying when the company balance sheets and income statements are still deteriorating. We are not even officially in a recession. 200 day, 200 week, and 1000 week moving averages show here. Fundamental measures including PE, Price to sales, and shiller PE with...
indices are currently at or near support. If they dont hold, traders will assume stop losses trigger lead to extension of pervious move lower. AMD last week spoke about 'evaporating demand' and intel speaks of weakening PC consumer demand.
Apparently, Intel has an ace up its sleeve. It owns a self driving car division called Mobileye and seeks to file for IPO. Mobileye valuation could range between 30-50 billion, while current market cap on Intel is around 100billion.
Apple app store sales slowed 5% in September. Not good for a stock priced 20 PE and 20 price to cash flow, and expected to grow only 4-5% next 2 years.