ValuePig

13:21

ValuePig

Educational purposes only: if the bear market continues, one tool Im keeping available is bear vertical spreads. I dont want to go straight short the market, and buying high valuation is a no for me. So bear call spread might be worth a shot while waiting for bullish opportunities.

20:00

ValuePig

If you only have a hammer, everything looks like a nail. Dont be that guy. have many tools to choose from to trade different scenarios and opportunities.

04:58

ValuePig

Stock indices are mostly flat today but the shiny white metal rockets up 5% plus today? what gives? is the BOJ raising rates to 50bps from 25bps, or is it the dollar weakness that is making silver shine?

10:50

ValuePig

Momentum buyers bring the stocks up to the moon, and the value buyer wait for the bubble to burst to pick up the pieces. the gap in between those 2 groups is the nasty part. There will be a crowd of unhappy trapped longs for many quarters and sometimes years until TSLA grows into its prices and puts up more growth to entice the value buyers.

41:32

ValuePig

how rates affect stocks, options, cypto, real estate

168:16

ValuePig

wow is the market in trouble?

02:54

ValuePig

Its not a good sign when the dow is getting bid up more than the growth sectors. Could be implying investors and institutions DIA who have to buy stocks are preferring blue chip dividend payers because they dont see growth in the near term. QQQ AAPL

45:38

ValuePig

whats the matter with tesla.

09:49

ValuePig

Commodities are hard assets and are trustless. The geo political climate has made commerce more difficult. Russia conflict, China supply issues, USA raising the cost of funding, the world is de-globalizing at the moment. Silver is tangible, credit is a promise that requires trust. As credit and trust are stalling temporarily, businesses will find it difficult to grow.

06:29

ValuePig

stock market is pricing in close to 20 PE currently which is roughly a 5% earnings yield, while bonds are paying close to that. next years expectations are still that we see a rise of as much as 10% higher earnings. If we instead slow down earnings growth, the market may be too expensive. SPX SPY IWF QQQ DIA

15:57

ValuePig

investing in stocks works out better when you take the time to understand what you own and what the intrinsic value over time should be.

37:59

ValuePig

live look at the market action including the apple news on lower production.

31:16

ValuePig

financial fundamentals is the key. focusing on the picture on the charts is not enough. These are real assets with real financial flows. The shape of the picture is not enough. Youll have to bust out your calculator and do some old school work.

08:08

ValuePig

Following ARKK to see when the selling in the bear market will end and hope to pick out from the carcass. Earnings expectations have come down on many names but the broad market as measured by sp500 is still expecting growth for the forward years. If we do get recession, the Earnings forward expectations may have to change. ARKK IWF SNAP PLTR BTCUSD SPY DIA

08:46

ValuePig

CNN business has a wonderful fear and greed indicator. I love it. So I made my own version to track real time sentiment. Im using junk bonds prices - vix volatility to mimic cnn's version. DIA AAPL GOOGL MSFT TSLA

09:45

ValuePig

financialized markets all move together in times of liquidity panics. Thats why we must pay attention when we hear of certain market going wild in large percentage moves. FTT token may not matter to everyone, but it matters if it gives us an insight to market mechanics that affect everyone. Crypto liquidity panics will harm investor trust and sentiment. Losses...

07:53

ValuePig

In last 20 years, apple stock has 'bottomed' out at earning yields in the 6-10% range. However, in the past it was a smaller company with a high growth rate potential. Current earnings yields on apple are in the 4% range and now its a near 3 trillion dollar company. I dont know if thats an apples to apples comparison ;) NASDAQ:AAPL QQQ MSFT