ValuePig

ValuePig

higher inflation and supply chain issues going to reduce sales growth in 2022?

ValuePig

Both oil and silver tend to trade together as commodities vs US dollar. Crude Oil is on the higher range of the relationship between silver and oil .

ValuePig

Apple stock price values the company at 7.5x last revenue. In the past 10 years it has traded between 2x sales and 8 x sales.

ValuePig

Inflation cpi near 7%, future potential rate hikes, FED reducing future purchases. Why would ne money be excited to jump in and buy up riskier paper at rates near 4-5% and stocks in a bear market? At what interest rate and risk premium are junk bonds attractive?

ValuePig

Here is just apple and microsft added together. I cant predict the future, but i can draw pretty lines to help observe. Will these 2 giants continue to grow and go up in 2022?

ValuePig

Silver is waiting for the next catalyst. much debate is happening on wether we are facing inflation or risk of deflation next. its hard to say in the short term, as seen in the current directionless trend of silver. Over the long run, money printing sill be needed to stimulate the economy and dilute the us debt. In the short run, a decline in asset prices from...

ValuePig

if inflation and interest rates due to debt persist, why wont gold and silver see a bid up? If gdp and company growth rates slow down, isnt the multiple on stocks a bit enthusiastic? dow to gold, sp500 to gold, and most traditional measures are on the high side. Why wouldnt I consider the old money, silver for a hold for the next decade? $silver #silver $gold...

ValuePig

Chart show is ndx over spx. Currently the ndx relative to spx is on the high side of the range over the last 3 decades. With apple, amazon, Microsoft, google at the top of the index market cap list, will they reprice and or get dragged down reflecting some discount in future growth? Apple specifically has very low growth forecasted for the next 2-3 years. Not to...

ValuePig

Russell2000 has been sideway for most of 2021. is this distribution or the pause before the next launch. the broad market sell off has me thinking bad things for the indices. Price to sales on the biggest names seem to be getting reprices from the lofty growth rates. time will tell, but I dont think this is the bottom.

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Facebook price to sales multiple keeps declining as it failed to make new price highs. Is this an indication that there are sellers or profit takings moving out of this steady grower? Are investors not happy with the name change to META and unsure of the metaverse future? the support neckline we are current sitting is where the battle is being fought and voted on...

ValuePig

With cpi inflation up at 6.2 % why should I be willing to hold a bond fun which as way above average prices and yielding between 2% and 4.4% for junk bonds? Shouldnt I be avoiding this reach for yield and get either more constative and look for future discount opportunities, or should buy a traditional portfolio and pray a sell off doesnt happen over next 5-10...

ValuePig

Inflation dat is signaling upward trend so far which should in theory be hurting demand for bonds. CPI at 6.2% while junk bonds yield around 4.4%, doesnt sound too good at the moment. How long until something changes for better or worse? PVT (pattern volume trend) implies less enthusiasm than before at these prices. Both JNK and HYG have lower highs no in the...

ValuePig

with higher inflation and possible shrinking forward guidance, are corporate junk grade bonds less desirable now? maybe the market doesnt top out or pull back, but cpi over 5% while junk bonds yield mid 4% starts to sound less attractive for the risk, doesnt it?

ValuePig

1.6 trillion Amazon is currently in a support testing process. With only a sub 4 price to sales while growing revenue 20 ish percent a year, Amazon could continue its uptrend or simply correct in time. Historically Amazons Price to sales could go lower and be normal for its long term trend. However, the lower high and the multiple threats to support at 3200 could...

ValuePig

morgan stanley failed to make higher highs and is now seeming to test support level. its moved up big over last year, around 300% from the lows, so profit taking could be a thing. Not a big grower and around 3.5x sales and 1.84 book value, but do they have exposure that market is fearing? time will tell.

ValuePig

Inflation cpi metric at 5% + makes the the bonds extremely unattractive. every 1 % change in bonds is a large price impact on the value of bonds. The Bonds are in a confirmed downtrend and threatening to test support around the 156 level. The same weakness here in bonds can be found in almost all of the other bond etfs. Why would anyone want tiny yields in this...

ValuePig

tracking an index of apple, facebook, tesla, amazon, and google combined. Apples weakness today may confirm more weakness to come in the biggest tech/internet names. If we do see weakness, the 50 day moving average is a logical place to watch for support. In my opinion, it may not hold, but thats not up to me, its up to the crows of investors voting with their...

ValuePig

chart shows the price of appl compared to silver, platinum and palladium combined. Apple now hit a marketcap of 2.6 trillion while the metals added up together total 2.0 trillion. Also plotted on the chart is a regression channel showing the highs and lows of the growth of apple compared to the 3 metals mentioned. Gold still is higher than appl, with gold market...