ValuePig

06:05

ValuePig

When I was new, I traded just the picture of prices. Later after living through a full cycles, I learned stocks were actually businesses. Business sell stuff to customers and generate revenue each year. Businesses have cash flows and earnings. Thats why when we look book 10 to 20 years, most businesses are more valuable today then back then. Valuation looks at...

04:44

ValuePig

XOM Valuation : Present Value of Future Earnings Using my formulas from Peter Lynch and Warren Buffett to analyze the business behind a stock. Imagine owning all of a company, not just a slice. Would you just look at dojis? or Would earnings and cash flow matter more? how do you measure future earnings and compare to todays prices. What the return in the...

01:36

ValuePig

The Dollar Index Signals Trouble: Head and Shoulder Pattern Emerges Amid Bank Bailouts and FDIC Rescue of SVB Bank If the dollar is in a head and shoulders pattern, then it will trigger at the neckline and trigger 75-80% odds of playing on and extension of the head to neck distance.

13:05

ValuePig

Shopping Call Options for the next Silver Bull Run to 50 Looking at how to select the optimal months and strikes for potential silver upside. Buying options is paying upfront for leverage, and the premiums evaporates just like interest payments on a loan. Silver is very volatile, and in the past has swung wildly, in both directions, even when in a bull...

08:20

ValuePig

2 Free Online Games that Have Helped Me Become a Better Investor. So Im in the middle of reading the " A Man of for All Markets" by Edward O. Thorp, and its fascinating. Hes a mathematician who proved there was a potential edge in blackjack (21) based on the cards that were left in the deck. He also went on to be investing fund manager who focused on covered...

ValuePig

Typically fed decision days are up big and then usually down later the next day. Today fed raised 0.25 as expected. they tried to rally, then "whomp" over the head after Jerome Powell mentioned that the Fed would still raise rates more if needed despite the recent bank support efforts.

ValuePig

yet another attempt at 2000. set those alerts. this will be what , the 3rd time? kind of exciting. oh wait no. kind of scary. because gold does nothing. Gold just reflect the demand for non dollar risk and non counterparty risk. So sadly, it indicate risk in the world money. Better to have it and not need it, than need it and not have it. Be safe.

ValuePig

Gold is nearing 2000, currently 1971 an ounce. Gold rising tends to pull up its little brother Silver, "poor mans gold". silver to gold, and gold to silver, show that it take a historically large amount of silver ounces to buy one ounce of gold. in 2020 it took over 100 ounces to buy 1 gold ounce. When silver has been strongest, the buyer power of 15-16 ounces...

ValuePig

Copper is an industrial metal, Gold is valued in times of money panics since no counterparty. both are metals. both theoretically benefit from inflation. One is clearly losing ground to the other one. there is information there.

ValuePig

Gold priced in dow, 100 years plus. If gold was a stock, would you buy low? asking for a friend. Historically, this ratio has market relative highs in lows and captured conditions of money system. When the debt based system bottlenecks and needs more money, gold is repriced. Gold doesnt do anything. the dollar is the culprit. The dollar matrix is real. Go...

ValuePig

"The momentum guys take it up to the moon, the value guys pick it up off the floor. Just watch out for the space between the two." -Confucius the trader have been reading up on the Turtle Traders and their momentum strategy. They would have bought anything as long as it meets their break out rules. Fascinating statistical strategy based on both 20 period...

ValuePig

Mo money Mo problems. The philosopher Notorious B.I.G. used to sing about that. With the unlimited backstops to deposits and blank checks being thrown around, it might be a good time to review metals. Platinum is more rare than gold. Historically it has traded at a premium to the gold price. Currently trades for about half the gold price. All time high in...

ValuePig

Stocks to gold ratio. Gold is accepted everywhere and in all time periods. Dollars transform as the quantity changes. You think russia or china wants to save dollars in this geo political climate? inflation is a tax, an invisible one. your energy is sapped, and your not supposed to know why. education is wealth. best wishes.

01:57

ValuePig Updated 

Biden approved artic willow, banks need bail outs. is that a booming economy and booming picture for gasoline and diesel?

ValuePig

make math great again! DJI dow in this chart failed to break out higher and now looking for fair value amid panic. Credit Suisse, back in headlines today, banks getting balance sheet help, gold threatening higher. Im sure there are many baby boomers who need their retirement that strong considering taking profits and taking 4-5% this month. 5% on bonds is...

02:52

ValuePig Updated 

Dr Copper has a PHD in economics. narratives can be wrong, be price action is closer to truth. Lots of stories about no landings and china re opening. But price action is saying something else.

08:22

ValuePig Updated 

Buy low and sell high, simple as that right? I wish it was. Charts alone dont show the whole picture. Rivian has a math problem. They are a sales grower, but they burn cash until they dont. They are burning 1.5 ish billion a quarter and have 8 billion ish left from IPO. Price to tangible book is now below 1.00 showing investor losing faith.

ValuePig Updated 

Remember when vix was high? all the puts that could be sold? ah yea those were the days. Now the premium available doesnt seem safe. Gotta stay busy, gotta stay engaged. Prices on equities are up. fear is low. junk bonds are up. bitcorn is up. good times good times. Now AI is the new thing, and next future bubble. cant wait. I miss you vix. Call me. - a...