WillSebastian

08:39

WillSebastian Updated 

AUDUSD has fallen to key lows on long term sentiment drag. Antipodeans not preferred as USD inflows come into play. Here's a few key lessons on catching swing entries.

02:14

WillSebastian

A small inflow on risk currencies this morning as we close out 2024 is giving rise to the question of a longer term swing formation and its validity.

02:38

WillSebastian

USD strength is pushing EURUSD back towards local lows. Weak price action gives way to potential falls, and long side planning becomes vital.

WillSebastian Updated 

The UK100 has been slammed on poor growth warnings. The budget released by the current Labour Govt gave reason for this, as well as some poor data now continually. If GDP fails to impress, this may spur further. Current tech case - Long side momentum into this morning. Would hold off shorts until at least key MA's above. Do not short and pre-empt any news....

WillSebastian

Oil has sat on a long term lower high trajectory, with price finding firm support on a consistent area of around 66-67 US Dollars per barrel. It is vital to note that although this continuous support has held, lower highs have become consistent. In many cases, when you have a long area hit so many times in rapid succession with lower highs, the prices that...

02:46

WillSebastian Updated 

Short side bias has flooded in via the negative outlook building on the UK economy. Fears of halted growth are trickling in off the back off poor data. Here's my bias.

WillSebastian Updated 

After cut bets lessening out the US, Risk assets have been hit across the board. Long side entries can be light as short side profits are taken and momentum grows. Dip buys may be ideal should any positive sentiment inflows occur.

WillSebastian

Slight waning in EUR strength is giving way to short side opportunities on any rebounds. Short side bias taken.

WillSebastian

FED Meeting yesterday dampened the prospect of faster easing from the FED. Previously optimism of this happening caused significant rallies to ATH's. Now slight waning in this. Re-shorts applicable but only lightly as overall economic health seems generally reasonable.

WillSebastian

Initial Dollar strength has waned post FED boost yesterday. Lesser cut bets mean more feeding into USD. BOC seemingly happy to ease, causing persistent weakness. I would use the first exit target (south) for shorts. Sentiment case longer term still remains heavy USD.

03:00

WillSebastian

EURUSD has recovered from local lows post FED meeting. As seen, rate cut bets are trimmed for 2025 driving investment further into the USD for better returns. Here's how it could unwind.

WillSebastian

USD strength after lesser cut bets via the FED and some caution hints from the BOJ on hikes has caused further rallies. Key short zones approach pre intervention levels. Short bias taken.

WillSebastian

Rallies on GBP come via lesser cut bets concerning actions of the BOE. Dollar strength also fading into today post profit taking on FED moves.

WillSebastian

USD strength fed into Gold falls last night as we heard from the FED and disappointing cut news. Lesser rate cuts attract USD long side inflows on better returns. Rebound coming in this AM is the reverse. Re-shorts ideal within new trend and overall Market Sentiment/Trajectory.

WillSebastian

NZDCAD again forming decent swing setups on lows. Major NZD weakness may fade. Looking long into momentum this AM.

02:05

WillSebastian

Lesser cuts in 2025 are spurring USD strength. This is causing inflows to the USD amongst current AUD weakness. Here's a summary.

WillSebastian

GBP has retained some strength within the continuous up trending of the USD. This comes as rate cuts are expected to be slower and also rates remain higher VS other global economies. May be the case that the GU sits flat, as seen. Light longs only until sentiment case recovers and becomes clear.

WillSebastian

Here is an interesting trend trade swing opportunity. I already have my index quota filled although as US index long is not the worst of ideas. The trend trade in question is the Dow Jones (US30) which is technically setting up and awaiting a daily buy signal/bar. Here is the interesting aspect. Why on earth is the DJI dropping for over a week back to averages...