Market trajectory is shaping inline with recent price history (relatively sideways). If markets swap back to risk appetite following rate cuts in variation across CB's then this may be the new driver for markets replacing risk off, although Fri did end this way. FED comments over the weekend reflect a calmer mood, however risk off persists.
Will BTC head further? Should you get short? Long?
The SPX like many other equities has been hit by risk off sentiment following concerning data. Anything further could spur more negative bias on equities and bring them down.
Any shock in US data later could spur further investment in Yens as a safe haven asset and de-vestment from AUD as a risk on asset. Understand this within the 30 year history that is notable, and you'll trade a lot more safely.
The current fall on Oil has taken us a key level where there has been repeated price rejection. It's far easier to trade within the realms of reality with calculated risk, than it is to overleverage and guess.
EURUSD rallied on softer landing rhetoric, before reversing on recession fears. Risk appetite may change post news today, before re-aligning with mid-long term trends.
XAUUSD is reacting to a break in the risk off environment. This is untraditional but mostly supports the recent price outlook and formation over the last year. Here's an interesting take.
AUS200 alike many equities has taken a hit and rebounded on calming sentiment pre US data. This sentiment can easily twist today, although price still seems reasonably weak. Maintaining short bias.
The Long Term trajectory the USDCAD has undertaken has been continuously sideways. No real reason for extreme long side or short side impetus. Any further CAD weakness and risk off sentiment likely will spur further moves to the upside. Levels as drawn, preference taken at highs and lows.
Yen Pairs have fallen again on further Risk Off Trading Sentiment (recession fears). Whether this persists is a debatable topic and will likely be uncovered in the near future. We can still however label targets for entries/exits.
Video analysis explaining the sudden fall on Gold and the changing market sentiment. Discussing what could occur on a continued sentiment structure like this and further Risk Off Inflow.
XAUUSD is falling back to the lower end of a mid-near term consolidation. This comes as XAUUSD now tends to favour down side movement within Risk Off Sentiment. TGT's displayed within new found near term down-trending Market.
It's important to understand the move from Risk assets to Non-Risk assets when market sentiment flips. Currently, looming US recession fears are feeding negative outlooks on HVAs. Any shorts really you want a push up higher to get a better price for entry. Longs should be shallow.
Fears of lessening demand have dropped the value of Oil per barrel. Key levels exist below and are very much worth noting for long side entries.
Weakness is flowing into antipodean currencies and strength is moving into safe haven assets (USD). This new sentiment is pulling AUDUSD and may create a continuation of the historic trajectory we have seen. Here's how to understand FX pairs and risk appetite.
AUDJPY is one of the many Yen pairs falling today. To trade accurately and within a 'careful' portfolio you must understand risk appetite and what is causes Forex Pairs to do. It's vital. Here's how and here's why.
Slight weakness has come into the FTSE pre US major data. Various equities are sat dawdling looking for future direction, with soft landing rhetoric largely pricing in a strong economy case overall. Any slight tip can change.
Shares in Asia fell as the USD gains strength Pre Key US data later this week. If this sustains as a new found sentiment, which is more than possible, we may see a further trickling to the southside. Vice versa on rises to highs.