WillSebastian

05:01

WillSebastian Updated 

We have seen falls off from previous lower highs taking us down to key support. The ranging markets (lower highs, higher lows) presents a case for further longs. Here's how to trade ranges.

06:31

WillSebastian Updated 

The fall on Crypto Assets comes around a miss in NFP data, and inline with global equities. These are all 'risk on' assets. Investors go into them when there is confidence. Remove that confidence, and markets tumble.

10:07

WillSebastian Updated 

For any Market to reverse its long term trajectory, you need to have a complete change in Market Mood / Sentiment. This is becoming apparent on the EURJPY and other JPY pairs as prices/mood reverses. A more hawkish JPY mixed with a more Dovish ECB, as well as other major economies may provide the means for a longer term reversal. Potential for other measures...

07:07

WillSebastian Updated 

Retail Sales + inflation data out of Australia has increased the case for short side negative bias. That coupled with recent news around china has caused large falling momentum. Long zones therefore persist below as sentiment wanes and true price preference occurs.

07:02

WillSebastian Updated 

Using Technical and Fundamental Analysis is key to making accurate market assumptions. A crucial Fed meeting awaits, so we can plan these areas. Awaiting Interest Rate Decision And Comments.

04:01

WillSebastian Updated 

The GBPUSD has been uptrending as the FED looks to be on quicker easing cycle. Recently, however, the GBP has fallen within the uptrend range formed. This provides key areas for entry and exit/sentiment discussion going forward.

07:30

WillSebastian Updated 

AUDJPY pipped above long term 30+ Year highs before being hit back down on China news / BOJ rhetoric around holds/hikes. It is no coincidence that the price went above the previous high and fell after. It's just business. Here's why.

02:11

WillSebastian Updated 

Fears of recession are picking up pace in the US from Gov Dudley mentioning it may be too late for the FED. This feeds into safe haven strength, assisting the fall of UJ post rumoured intervention and now potential rate hikes out the BOJ. Any longs must be small, and well awaited. Short side sentiment is heavy.

09:33

WillSebastian Updated 

This week could be crunch week for USDJPY and other JPY pairs. Should the BOJ take a more hawkish approach, JPY strength may persist. The same goes if we see fear in the US and safe haven inflows occur. A more dovish FED may weaken the USD and also bring the case for further falls. This is why understanding simple economic factors is so important.

WillSebastian

After Manufacturing data out the US caused fear and a selloff in Global Equities, we can look for new areas likely to be hit. This comes before key jobs data also out the US. Key support exists lower, and could be ideal for very, very light longs in a risk off environment. To the north? Short areas around 20/40 with caution again. If markets reject current...

09:06

WillSebastian

GBPUSD has been subject to further sentiment inflows and market falls. This comes within the long term uptrend cycle, that began Autumn last year. Here's my view.

04:15

WillSebastian Updated 

EURUSD is now peeling away from our previously noted upper TL. This comes within a new-found uptrend with Euro strength on a quicker to ease Fed. This reverses the previous sentiment that was pushing a long term fall on EURUSD (quicker ECB). Here's levels for entry and exit.

08:06

WillSebastian Updated 

XAUUSD has fallen on improved Dollar sentiment. This is the same for the SPX right now. This also represents a Risk off environment, and can lead to further Gold falls. Therefore, we need to look at entries and exits on either side of the market and sentiment changes that may push/pull it.

WillSebastian Updated 

ECB deposit rate facility news comes out soon, as well as speech from the ECB in general terms relating to monetary policy. Anything that confirms a quicker easing cycle will likely feed into a downside drip for the EURO. This comes as a near term uptrend forms on a second high. Upside moves will rely on anything that will delay a cut (unlikely). The FED has...

WillSebastian

GBP weakness flowing through markets PRE boe is taking us nearer to key support levels. Likely the impetus from these moves (momentum) may wane as we approach. Scaling into long entries as appropriate.

WillSebastian

GBPNZD has dripped incessantly from previous highs. Key support lurks below, ideal area to scale in long. No shorts, unless signif rebound back towards prev highs.

WillSebastian Updated 

Traders are now pricing in a preferred Sept cut for the FED, leading to slight strength/rebound momentum. Antipodean currencies have taken a hit on China news, especially AUD, NZD following suite but more so on the encouragement to buy 'safer' currencies (as seen CHF/Yens/USD rise) on fears. The technical level we have arrived at on NZDUSD (labelled) warrants...

04:31

WillSebastian Updated 

You can see Safe haven inflows coming about as a Risk Off environment ensues. Recent recession fears and speech is causing slight panic and some selling across global equities. Could this be the start of a larger move?