WillSebastian

WillSebastian Updated 

Lowering rates by the SNB has caused CHF weakness this AM. This has been crushed by a lack of volatility in markets. 1. On a tech basis this constitutes light short entries. 2. Sentiment bias longer term is pulling CHF up VS US. Near term US strength momentum persists support light short bias. Any further shorts planned much higher.

WillSebastian

USDCAD has ranged for a significant period of time, with USD strength being considerable as of late (pre the last week or so). BOC Macklem to speak later may change trajectory. Technical levels are labelled incase we see increased/reduced demand for USD VS CAD. Continuing Easing from BOC faster than FED will support long side bias and could create a move out of...

WillSebastian Updated 

GBPJPY is another example of the extent to which the Japanese Yen has been extremely weakened. A weak currency is beneficial for an economy that exports a lot by nature, but it only goes so far. Once you have seen extreme de-valuation, it becomes necessary to create a change of direction. This is usually done by anything that will prop up the currency...

WillSebastian

Managing volatility is crucial for achieving consistent returns and minimizing risk. Volatility targeting strategies aim to adjust portfolio allocation to maintain a constant level of volatility, regardless of market conditions. By systematically adjusting exposure based on volatility forecasts, you can create a more stable and predictable trading...

WillSebastian Updated 

AUD VS NZD is a well correlated pair generally speaking over time, similarly to that of the EUR GBP in recent history. We are now seeing AUD rise up on continued hawkish rhetoric. 1. Tech area now being hit for short side price action entries. 2. Correlation bias supports a falling back to downside, despite sentiment tone (RBNZ not too far off)

07:30

WillSebastian Updated 

Using the RSI within your trading needs to come with a few key pointers. It is not the case that you want to sell everything you can / buy everything just because you are at extremes. You need to look and use price on all timeframes as well as key sentiment data. Only then can it be used as a reliable trading gauge.

WillSebastian

The Japanese Yen has now lost value for a significant period of time VS its major counterparts. This de-valuing is asserted directly to the de-vestment of the Japanese Yen, typically a safe haven currency. The stance of the BOJ is still one with very low rates. Because this isn't changing quickly and there is no current intervention speech, the Yen remains a...

WillSebastian Updated 

CPI data expected to come in lower YOY and higher MOM. Pre release we can look at key factors; 1. Short levels that exist now (current entry this AM) and shorts that exist at upper boundary resistance. 2. Longs that exist should we see a sharp fall. 3. Recent sentiment supporting a short side bias case for GBPUSD on a stronger USD. Levels mentioned are ideal...

WillSebastian

GBPNZD's near term rally is now shining into the light of a weaker sentiment case. Antipodean data particularly reflects this as of late. 1. Re-push is showing weakness on lower TF's, early rejection. Short bias taken. 2. Sentiment case suits short GBP VS NZD.

08:11

WillSebastian Updated 

Forex pairs correlate with each other if they are closely linked. They also correlate with economic climates and commodities. Understanding this allows you to reduce exposure in one direction in your portfolio and diversify for safety. Here's how.

WillSebastian Updated 

EURAUD is now rising from a Key Tech (demand) zone. This means previously the larger money market has preferred this area long and it is already rising on impetus. Sentiment bias suits longer term down move. Looking long on dips lower TF.

08:00

WillSebastian

The recent fall on Bitcoin has done little to worry investors. And, it shouldn't particularly. These fluctuations can b normal across the board for anything that has rallied significantly. It's what you do from here Technically, and fundamentally that counts.

08:11

WillSebastian Updated 

Predicting future moves accurately requires two key aspects; -Fundamentals/sentiment. -Technical/Deal Making Areas price points for value. Using both will allow you to achieve solid entries in line with logic.

06:47

WillSebastian Updated 

Catching intraday Forex Market moves relies on sentiment and technical biases being established early. This allows you to take advantage of any fast falls and plan your entries and exits to catch moves that occur within the day. This is a hand guide on how to do it.

WillSebastian

GBP rallied VS CAD on sentiment bias supporting a weaker Canadian Dollar. Inflation data coming in lower will likely support the case for a further retracement now. 1. Weak tech bias for long (rejection occurring now, ideal for shorts). 2. Sentiment bias for GBP shorts (unless inflation changes this). Short directional bias, scaling in higher if necessary....

WillSebastian Updated 

Hawkish tones have delivered gains for AUD VS NZD over night. Persistent sentiment bias will take us to the upper boundary for shorts. 1. Tech bias now engages light short/wait for highs. 2. Sentiment bias supports the same. Longer term areas both noted (Long much lower, Short much higher).

WillSebastian Updated 

GBPAUD fell overnight via Bullock's comments around potential hikes. 1. Tech bias - Falling to key support/pivot zones. 2. Sentiment - Supports falling of GBPAUD (rate rising in Aus). Light Long entries at best planned at key zones labelled. Re-shorting anything that pushes up.

09:06

WillSebastian Updated 

The S&P is rallying on longer term continued softer outlook/risk on rhetoric. The more Investors have confidence, the more they buy. The more they take long holdings, the more the index rallies as a whole. At some point, as throughout history this ends.