XardasX

XardasX

The Dollar Index (DX1!) has been in an uptrend since the spring-summer of 2008, when it reached its lowest point. Since October 2009 (after the first leg down of the uptrend), whenever the net positions of retailers in the CoT report turn negative (or approach zero) AND retailers reach an extreme low in the CoT index (either in the short-term OR long-term), a...

XardasX Updated 

CoT index shows Commercials(blue line) are in 3-year extreme low AND Retailers(green line) are in extreme high. Almost every time we are in this situation the asset goes down. The last time was May 2021 you can see what happened afterwards. This is the CoT indicator of commercials net positions. Commercials net position is getting close to 2007 level where...

XardasX

This is CoT index of Australian Dollars. As you can see every time Commercials(blue line) are in long term(3-year) negative extreme AND Retailers(green line) are in positive extreme, the asset tanks. The vertical blue lines are the past identical situations. The last time we had this condition was September 2017 which resulted in multi-year downward momentum....

XardasX

This is the CoT index of Commercials(Blue) and Retailers(Green). As you can see, Commercials are in the high extreme and Retailers are in low extreme of the index. The vertical blue lines are the past identical situations which ended up in big rallies. Plus, when the retailers net position(green area) is around -8000 (the dotted green line) resulted in rallies...

XardasX

This is 3-year CoT index of Silver. Last time Commercials were in extreme low was before COVID crash and before that Feb 2017. Look what happened to the price afterwards each time. On top of that Retailers are in extreme high. Historic indication of bearish Silver market.

XardasX

#NG1! #NGAS is at its historic low. Bottom of all bottoms. Every time commercials start offloading their long positions AND the price getting close to $1.5 it ends up with multi-year bullish momentum. (Since 1991)