


Some degree of 5 waves completed yesterday and reversal signs are there. Now, this 5 waves up could be just 1st leg of larger 5th or the 5th itself since this leg was 2.6 times of leg 1. Either way, we are heading towards 90K and if this was larger 5th that got complete then it's time for "serious worry", specially if you are a HODLer.
COINBASE:BTCUSD seem to have started wave 5 up and currently in minor degree wave i of 5.Combined this with ACMI breadth oscillator which went below 30, it looks like cryptos might show some recovery from here.
Too early to say but NSE:NIFTY seem to have completed wave 1/A and has potentially started wave 2/B down which should hit 23400-23300 zone at the minimum, which happens to be 38.6% retracement of the rise 1/A.
Being cautiously optimistic - I can see a potential leading diagonal formation followed by 3-3 legs which could be legs w-x of w-x-y or w-x-y-x-z . Only time will tell if this is what I think it is o it evolves into another corrective rise followed by further downside.
NSE:NIFTY has a 5 wave down formation as of now in daily which potentially means that the recent rise could have been a counter-trend and the primary trend remains downward. A breach of 23676 should be another confluence for downside view.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD has broken down from a bearish wedge in hourly. I expect it to do at least 38.2% retracement around 84k, though it could likely go lower around 50% as well which is around 82,600. Closing below 80k might open doors to resumption of downside trend.
Let's face it. None of us want BITSTAMP:BTCUSD to go down. Isn't it? So whenever I see a potential/local bottom, I start looking for a bullish possibility. Few days back, #BTC dipped below 77K so I started counting waves from that point to see if there could be anything good happening here. On the 4H chart here, I can see a 5 wave move up (wave (i)) which...
COINBASE:SOLUSD managed to defend the super important 120-125 support zone. As long as it stays above it, we can hope it would climb higher. On the contrary, if Solana breaks down below this then it can go much much lower. Keep an eye.
COINBASE:BTCUSD is back to test the 200 day moving average for the second time in last few days. First time, we saw a good rejection from 200 DMA which was promising but now it's back where it started. If it closes below it this time, it'll signify further weakness and any chances of recovery in near term would diminish.
Not a pretty picture, is it? I hope it's just a shakeout of weak hands and not truly a breakdown. The price has clearly closed below significant lows. Only saving grace is that the yesterday low is around 38.2% retracement of the rise from lows of August 2024 (sub 50K level). Let's hope it reverses for good from here. If not, it's not just #BTC that will fall...
CME:MBT1! is trying to hold on around 92K levels. If this is breached on the downside, it runs into the risk of falling much lower towards 74K levels. Keep an eye HODLers!
50% and 61.8% of Y should be good levels for Z (of larger W) to complete and NSE:NIFTY to reverse towards 24K in larger X. Watch out of these levels.
NSE:GRASIM hourly chart shows head and shoulder breakdown in hourly chart. Most H&S breakdowns are followed by retest so chances are there would be an attempt to reclaim the neckline resistance.
BITGET:PIUSDT is the new crypto kid of the block and everyone is talking about it so I thought I will take a shot at it and see how it looks from Elliott Waves perspective. Watch the video to know the important levels one needs to watch out for along with tentative counts.
BITGET:PIUSDT chart is setting up nicely for a bullish up-move, if 0.68 holds which happens to be the wave 2 low. If these counts are correct then we have completed minor wave (1) of larger 3 and (2) of 3 is in progress. That leaves wave (3) of larger 3 to start which should cover most of the distance towards wave 1 and 3 equality around 4 usd.
COINBASE:SOLUSD has been a nightmare and has fell significantly in past few days, much more than #BTC and #ETH relatively. But I can see a potential leading diagonal (3-3-3-3-3) rise. It the retracement of it holds above/around 61.8% which also happens to be the wave 4 low (165.945) then the next leg up should start which would give more insight into whether...
NSE:CASTROLIND formed a slightly tilted H&S followed by breakdown and now retest seem to be in progress. Depending on how the day closes, this could be a nice shorting opportunity. As per the size of head, target would be around 125. However, due to the left side tilt (which reflects lack of extreme weakness), it would be prudent to go with a smaller fall, if at...
COINBASE:BTCUSD is retesting the 91-92K zone and if it is breached then we can expect further downside. On the contrary, if it holds then we can expect the upmove to continue beyond 100K. Wait and watch ...