This was a day trade - with a short-term target based on the Balance of Power and EMA indicators - which are forming a consolidation on the 1HR chart. NFLX still has some velocity in price move so I determined that its upward move would be validated by the price action - dominate buy lots versus sell lots. Up until the final hour - where pullbacks typically...
When you see a dramatic drop in price - that doesn't level out - then it's a buy - and TSLA was a buy today. Hedge Fund reversals are so easy to read these days.
This chart shows a typical 7-day cyclic upward trend leading to the earnings report and three days after. It is an often repeated trend configuration on the technical chart - where I use my EMA overlays for confirmation. Also, I double check correlated assets on the demarcation date - April 27th to see that market makers are starting to flood the market with buy...
Since the beginning of 2018, I have seen the prevailing Bearish formation of a Descending Triangle on the DJI. Coupled with a very topsy-turvy hyped up market that doesn't follow any particular common sense -the politically motivated selloff of FB and AMZN clearly orchestrated by the House(AMZN skyrockets on Earnings?), for example. I don't see any Casino Royale...
We're entering a new option chain cycle that will recalculate my cycles for the Cover-Return monetized Intrinsic price- to mid February. Given the recent prevailing bearish move on market performance the cosmic forces that govern Fib Ratios come into play. (Einstein and Planck came to me a dream last night to show me the equations.) The 144/377 EMA sweet spot is...
I SEE A A TAP ON THE 34 EMA (RED) THAT WILL SIGNAL A MEAN REVERSAL - MAYBE OF EPIC PROPORTIONS. IT IS REPORTED THAT FROM NOW TILL OCT 14TH WE'RE AT THE MERCY OF THE UNIVERSAL LAWS OF SHIFTING THIS EARTH'S ENERGY. GIVEN HISTORIC EVIDENCE I'M TAKING IT DAY BY DAY - KEEPING SHARP ON SEPT 27TH AND BLOOD MOON ON OCT 4TH
Captivated by the surging upward movement today - Volume was around 40K then POP - it skyrocketed to 84K. I'm not convinced this is a Bullish play. That Resistance of $119+ was during Extended Hours so the Traders (not Market Makers) didn't solidified it's place with inventory from Main Street: My take away - this is no new Support. It's my hunch that the...
CVX is a correlative equity to XOM. These are consist in trend moves comparable to other equities in their sector. You want volatility for the option's play. Right now, CVX is at a crossroads with an IV of 73 and HV 71. With earnings coming up, we're expecting a shift north till the end of this year's first quarter. That's a good play to go deep in options. ...
XOM shows a fairly good example of a 7 Day Cycle - of which one could calibrate their options trades in respect to the overall move in 7 days. Take the IV Rank of the month option chain and multiply by 0.408 to get the "true" IV for that time frame. (Tastytrade provided the Volatility to Scaling formula: 7.5 days - IV*0.408) The FEB (22) Option Month shows a...
FedEX (NYSE:$FDX) consolidates along the 34EMA on the 1hr chart. Announcement to purchase the 100+ year old delivery firm Genco Supply Chain Logistics (bot ATC Technology Corp 2010) infused with $512.6M from Greenbriar Equity Group LLC.; may bolster an upswing after earnings in two days. $FDX initiated restructuring in 2012 that reflects the Oct 2014 bullish...
I'm not banking on it. I love FedEx. Top notch excellent service, though a few of my high tech packages seem to disappear prior to delivery at times; anyway - my take is (NYSE: $FDX) has a little more way to go south - in fact I expect a pull back north just a few days out from DEC options expiration day. Want to exercise this one? That's your call if you're...
Gopro (NASDAQ: $GPRO) is down 28% since hitting a peak in the first week of October. A lock up withdrawal of 5.8M to start a charity was a signal that more "downside" was to come. On December 23, just about every share remaining in the lock up (borrowed money) will be made public, thus flooding the market with supply; driving the price down even further. Lean...
Based on the EMAs, Resistance 179.69, then down to 144 EMA 175.55 for (1) Support prior to earnings, which can cause a drop to the 377 EMA at 168.17 (Trefis Price 157.-12%) This is an options play set up since the dividend payout is when January Options expire. I'd expect a drop after earnings, then a gradual rise in price before dropping. Gas prices might be...
Apple, $AAPL is a cash cow! Today, after the early morning sell off, I targeted a strong bullish trend based on IV and Volume Avg to DMI. The point I'm making is in a high volatility market, AAPL performs very well with options. I entered a Long Call for DEC Strike 114 when the asking price was just below 112. I use the 15MIN chart for entry, calibrated...
I've flagged Brazil's state-owned mega-energy firm Petrobras Brasileiro ADR (NYSE: PBR) because the SEC is investigating the energy firm for money-laundering and corruption, thus skewing Fitch Ratings of PBR. Since PBR owns a Texan refinery, PBR it is accountable under US jurisdiction. PBR has been found in violation of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and...
Petroleo Brasileiro (ADR) (NYSE:PBR) is breaking out ahead of US oil equities, e.g. Exxon (NYSE:XOM). After a -26% downward slope over the past 50+ days, the technicals show a potential on the upside to $12.87, based on option analysis for DEC (14) 100 Call Strike 12 with a $.30 premium. The IV rank has been re-calibrated from 66% to 38%, that gives us some room...
Revised techno analysis from former chart. Still Bullish on TSLA.
Using unusual volume and Option Expiration Fridays as pivot points to draw out 45 day and 7 day trend line cycles, I'm predicting that TSLA will have a retracement near the $269 price - correlated to the 50% Fibonacci Retracement overlay. I've drawn out a couple of 7-day cycle trends that are not biased validations. Stop Loss price at the previous support of...