It's been a real tough month to forecast bitcoin. I've been delving into orderflow a lot more because you can only get an accurate picture of what price does and WHY it does so, is based on the real life orders that are in the market. For this example of market behavior, here is the link to what I'm seeing with orders. I've annotate it so you guys can see market...
So far, price has done almost exactly as I've predicted in my previous idea, which you can see right here: We have made to drop to the level I forecasted according to historical bookmap orderflow analysis. I predict we are on the verge of our shot up into the 44250 range. You should be going long now.
The previous week's analysis went to hell in a handbag fairly quick. Which is alright, not every single week's analysis will pan out, and one of the hallmarks of trading that many of you will learn is to be able to learn from what went wrong. LINK TO SEE THE CURRENT ORDERFLOW HEATMAP ON BITCOIN FROM MY ANALYSIS: imgur.com Couple of things to note for next week's...
*Please note that the prices discussed in this idea are from the MEXC exchange and that your exchange pricing may be different due to the spread and arbitration.* I think that the week ahead is going to be relatively choppy. I'm still net short at the moment (Please see previous idea) but I can still play intraday/intra-week ups and downs. There is an...
As you guys can see, I called for a short on Bitcoin in yesterday's idea I posted. A 1:18 trade, and it is looking great. Please note that this is NOT a good time to enter short here, I expect some sort of correction in the trend, so there are no good entry positions available that will not potentially draw heavy on your capital. The only way I would attempt to...
Just a quick note, I have been in this short position for a bit now already. I'm not saying you can't short from here, what I'm saying is that for the risk adverse it is not the best value position to short from here as price can easily scare you out of position and the stop can have a high impact on your capital. When it comes to liquidity and reversals, my rule...
One minute chart posted. We have the FVG in our AM killzone targeted. Most exchanges this is going to be around 43800. This can be longed to the high AM killzone made. SL will be below 43720, in case we have a liquidity purge, making this a little less than a 2x play. Usually I don't go for these small ranges, but it's a Sunday.... Why not? Money is...
We have several confluences in this area that lead me to believe that a short opportunity is unfolding on Apple. Couple of things... We have a trendline we have broken through that is grabbing liquidity, we pushed through a high, which was also liquidity. We have broken above the yearly 1 STD dev on the VWAP, and we are at a volume profile node. NOW....... It...
NOTE: This is only meant for a day trade today. We have a strong confluence of liquidity right below 36,000 for Bitcoin. It is a worthy place to look for a quick day trade long. We have multiple confluences of liquidity leading to this reversal: 1) Trendline break 2) Price taking out at least one ICT killzone low 3) VWAP broken/touched of a significant level...
Bitcoin has definitely been on a roll lately, but I know that a lot of you are secretly thinking about "where is the reversal"? Liquidity is a concept that escapes a lot of people, but the reality is that liquidity is much simpler than most people think. Liquidity is simply this: What price is seeking. I used have a hard time understanding the concept of...
Based on Smart money concept entries and order blocks. We have liquidity sweep above and beneath unmitigated order blocks. My current assessment is that we will be going for the lower unmitigated OB that was the genesis point of the bullish CHoCH. The bullish order block currently has two liquidity points resting above it (trend line in white, and relatively...
We are looking at NIO right now. We have a valid break of structure on the weekly timeframe. Price has retraced back into the demand zone just below the low made after the Change of Character. We are seeing a reaction from the GAP right below the CHoCH low. We have zoomed into the 1hr timeframe, and seeing a bullish structural setup being created. We are...
Apple has confirmed a structural break to the upside. We are looking to get into a bullish position by identifying two things: -Premium/Discount zone: Easily done with a 50% fib. -The order block responsible for breaking above the previous structural high. To verify this point of interest, it is important for us to zoom into at least a 1hr or 4hr timeframe to...
Based on structural analysis, I believe that Bitcoin will retry to capture the 31K region again for a BOS confirmation... It is not guaranteed that we put in a weekly candle that confirms above the structural high, but without it, the case is very ugly for Bitcoin. Here is my takeaway from the initial structural breakdown (The CHoCH to the downside). While this...
As I have shown in my previous idea about CHoCH and BOS reversal entries, we have a potential reversal setting up on Nasdaq E-Mini futures. As we can see in the 4hr chart, price has pushed above a 4hr high, which indicates a point of interest. Please be aware that the current 1 min TF structure does NOT indicate a verified reversal, but just a Change of...
If you were a trader like me, that was having a hard time understanding Change of Character and Break of Structure concepts for a long time, I hope that this example gives you clarity to be able to identify entries better. So let's begin! The first thing you want to identify are high timeframe points of liquidity (AT, BELOW or NEAR) highs and lows. In this...
I have recently recognized a pattern that keep repeating following a period of LL or HH. I have literally made thousands of dollars from naked Calls/Puts in the past couple of days from this strategy. Wait for a long from the indicated area in the chart around 452.60 to 453. Price may even shoot above it, but I can only guarantee you profit into those areas. This...
I couldn't make the resolution any less than 15 min, but the minute details are what you need to know and that's where things will become apparent. For now, don't do anything. Don't short into this. Just wait to see what it will do at 27540. You have the battle plan once we are down there. 27950 is where I'm expecting retrace up. AGAIN, DO NOT SHORT THAT. We...