aiza_belle

aiza_belle Updated 

Short USDCAD to ride possible rally in oil and consolidation in DXY. Better to short limit @1.33-1335 (38.2 fib and previous high), with initial TP near 1.315,but can be extended to 1.305 depending on price action. Need to be careful because depending on Fed, DXY and Trump, it's possible for USDCAD to still extend its rally to 1.34 instead especially seasonality...

aiza_belle

Though it seems like we're currently in correction wave A and would like to stay neutral short to mid-term until confirmed wave 1 appears, the gap and bearish engulfing candle make it seem like the slide will continue earlier than expected within Q1 -- or maybe it will suddenly "recover" fast by next week, depends on the whales tbh, but lemme know your thoughts...

aiza_belle Updated 

Waiting for long stops around 49-49.5 to get hit, with initial TP at 38.2 fib near 55 psychological level, and 2nd TP at 61.8 fib. Most likely it will go go ranging here in 50 psychological level for some quite time before rallying soon after being oversold especially with the risk of corona virus spreading being more controlled now compared to 2 months...

aiza_belle Updated 

Two possible scenarios: 1. USDMXN will create the next shooting star soon after reaching 20-- this new high and possible psychological resistance, and expecting it to drop back near 19.5 (or lower, possibly at 19 instead which is the 61.8 fib) by next month, or 2. USDMXN will continue rising near 2018 high esp if DXY tries to reach 100 before bouncing down as...

aiza_belle Updated 

Setting up buy limit near 126 (2016 low) and buy stop order few pips above 130 to capture possible short-term correction and bounce between now and mid-August especially with GBP pairs currently moving close to interesting support levels and initial bearish bias in GBPJPY for Aug (already discounted) and bullish bias on Sep 10-year seasonality (despite being...

aiza_belle Updated 

Nice opportunity to sell here now (or sell limit at around 1.75) with initial target at 1.70 as it seems like its creating a double-top now to ride possible short-term consolidation of EUR this week which will also serve as some kind of hedge if ever DXY suddenly breaks on the upside and resumes its climb to 100 instead of consolidating down to 96, esp next rate...

aiza_belle Updated 

In-line with my bullish bias on oil (oilprice.com & www.wsj.com) and bearish bias on USD (bearish outlook for DXY based on its month of August to September seasonality + this dude and I are on the same page www.seeitmarket.com). Need to be cautious still of any sudden volatility after summer especially regarding US-China trade "talks". Weekly: Monthly: ...

aiza_belle Updated 

Setting up buy stop order just few pips above this week's high near 0.68 (would prefer buy limit near 0.67 instead, but since AU's seasonality for this month is generally bearish, I don't wanna risk a huge drawdown up to 0.60). Weekly: Confidence: C (this idea is against this month's seasonality bias and DXY going up to 100 if ever; also uncertain risks...

aiza_belle Updated 

But need to be cautious if oil recovers in the latter part of the year. Initial TP around 1.75, but may add more position with TPs at 1.80-1.85 later on. Weekly: Monthly:

aiza_belle Updated 

Fundamentally speaking in the long run, BTC like gold and other assets treated as risk-haven now will continue to increase in value if market continues to be risk-off esp with trade "talks" going nowhere and "rumored" recession coming within 2-3 years. But technical-wise, there's highly probable reversal soon at least in the short-run (within this month only) like...

aiza_belle Updated 

Next target at 1570-1670 (61.8 & 100 fib levels respectively). But again, need to be cautious regarding volatility from US-China trade talks and any sudden correction in equities market (i.e. SP500). Weekly:

aiza_belle Updated 

This it. The moment we've been waiting for lol. I see some already in position since the start of this month. EURUSD won't probably climb up to 2016 high within the year (1.55), but at least will climb to 1.14 esp if DXY gets weak. Weekly: Monthly: DXY:

aiza_belle Updated 

Riding the short-term rally in oil up to 60 (may extend up to 65 esp if DXY corrects during the latter part of this month, we'll see.. Daily: Weekly:

aiza_belle Updated 

EUR - similar to EURAUD idea earlier, also very bearish bias on 10-year seasonality in EURNZD for June, we'll see how it goes NZD - similar to NZDCAD idea earlier Weekly:

aiza_belle Updated 

Weekly:

aiza_belle Updated 

If not this month, around Q3-Q4 this year esp if equity (i.e. SP500) corrects again as being rumored once more lately (www.marketwatch.com) Weekly: Monthly:

aiza_belle Updated 

But remain cautious esp regarding volatility from US-China trade talks. Weekly:

aiza_belle Updated 

Almost similar idea as EURUSD earlier but need to be more cautious if S&P500 suddenly drops instead of climb to 2900. Initial TP @125.6 (61.8 fib) and next TP @126 (100 fib), with conservative SL just few pips below this week's low. S&P 500: Daily: Weekly: Confidence: 80% (less confident here than in EURUSD because market is still risk-off in general...