aravindran1

aravindran1

This chart is a comparison on GE and the SPY, and how sometimes GE tends to Sell off before the rest of the equities. Usually SPY would grind sideways for a few days, while GE has been selling off to the downside. I still think SPY in going to grind for the next few days before It starts another leg down.

aravindran1

This is a 4 hour chart of the QQQ and it shows both the bullish and bearish side of the argument. I have a bias to the bear side due to bearish divergence on the weekly chart and also the head and shoulder pattern. However, the bullish argument is that we have an inverse head and shoulder pattern ( green) opposing the Bears, and also the fact that we are still in...

aravindran1

SPY has formed a shooting star Doji near a all time high, which is likely to form tomorrow. A red candle tomorrow would confirm an evening star reversal pattern. Also notice the mini Head and shoulder within the larger Head and shoulder pattern. The major resistance and support levels are labelled @ 184.62. 181.31 and 174.03, would be places to take profits at...

aravindran1

The correlation between SLV and BRF is more prominent that with GLD. Nonetheless the relationship between these asset classes are quite distinctive. long BRF, LBJ, ILF

aravindran1

This is just a tentative path that GG could follow based on Fibonacci extensions and retracments on a larger time frame. This is just for educational purpose, and meant to see where GG could be a year from now provided the pattern plays out.

aravindran1

I see 2 possibilities,1) a retracement into the box area, testing the neckline, and then a trust higher.2) Or a larger inverse Head and shoulder formation , which would be a stronger reversal pattern. I like the latin america over india because of a bullish MACD divergence on LBJ/ILF. I think Inverse H&S would create some fakeout for the bulls, before actually...

aravindran1

Bullish as long as we get a sell off in the equities. And as long as we stay above 109. TLT has made higher highs and will break out once we get a sell off in the equities. Even though rising interest rate means prices will go down. A sell off in equities will re direct investors to bonds, at least in the short term.

aravindran1

UNG has been consolidating for a few weeks long, which is normal after an explosive move to the upside. He have made higher highs and as long as we stay above 24.29, we stay bullish. A bullish move in Natural gas will be positive for oil and gas companies, especially the ones that are more gas focused. Today was a good entry for UNG. there is also a double bottom...

aravindran1

XEG is represents the capped energy index of TSX and SPX companies, so its not exactly a true representation for SPY/DIA looking the way it does. But, you get the general Idea.- investors are flocking to other sectors and dividend paying stocks. Im bullish energy sector as i think is undervalued and forgotten for most of 2013, but i think ive missed much of...

aravindran1

Looking at JO the recent strength in looks super bullish. Eventhough im proposing the alternate idea of a double top, I still think the bullish trend is intact. However, i can't help but to think about the downside risk. I believe coffee needs to consolidate, either though price ( a sell off) or through time (sideways movement.) I don't feel comfortable going...

aravindran1

It' hard to narrow down exactly where the QQQ's could hit resistance, since the SPY/DIA are still above their pivots. But I have two tentative points. Either we test the 50 ema and sell or form a H&S pattern. Both scenarios will favour my bullish gold thesis. Although i prefer the former. (as GDX is at it last level of retracement before turning bearish.) The...

aravindran1

With the gold miners stocks tend to have a very volatile behavior. They correlate with the equities market as well as physical gold. Hence they tend to gap up and down. That's just its personality. Looking at the long term view, it still looks bullish and the inverse head and shoulder is still intact. Possible morning star reversal forming if it if gaps up...