brian7683

brian7683

VIX is at 20 now. It'll go down to 15 and shoot up to 28,30 and go back down to 22. That might be spring/summer 2025. That will be the top in markets. Sell everything. IMO, VIX will shoot up to 60 by mid 2026. Meaning big market crash. Early 2027 might end up being a great time to jump back markets.

brian7683

US10Y-US02Y = Yield Curve. The Yield Curve has predicted each of the previous market crashes. The markets are crashing now but is it really the beginning of a bigger market crash? OR are the markets just very volatile and have more last push up? Maybe yes for the US Markets. In 2000, the market peak was when the yield curve was still negative (-0.3%). In 2007,...

brian7683

If ETHBTC goes down another 30-40%, I'm converting all my BTC to ETH. It will go back to 0.08 or more so I'll have doubled my BTC.

brian7683

When the money supply started rising in 2020, the SPX started by crashing before going on one of its biggest bull runs. Maybe the same thing is happening now. We crash now for another couple days or weeks before having one last explosion upwards.

brian7683

The VIX has touched the upper resistance and will reverse soon. VIX going down means markets will go higher. IMO, we won't have more major downside until October / November.

brian7683

Is it down from here for the Japanese stock market? Is it the first major stock market to top?

brian7683

5T is the 1.618 level on the Fibonachi retracement. That's a 2.5x from here. That would make sense.

brian7683

IMO, yes! How low will it go. That is the question. My feeling is that we should go lower than the last record low of 35% end of 2017. Then we see a mega bounce back up in Bitcoin dominance when a recession hits the US.

brian7683

Look at the consolidation from 1987 to 1992, when it broke out, markets went up for 7 years! It's safe to expect another 20% on the SPX from here.

brian7683 Updated 

Look at this beautiful RSI! It just broke out and retested the support line. Perfect pattern before takeoff. How high will TSLA go? $280 or more?

brian7683 Updated 

Dot Com Bubble (2000): Top Order: Russell 2000 (RUT) -> NASDAQ (NDX) -> S&P 500 (SPX) -> TSX Duration: 182 days Financial Crisis (2007-2008): Top Order: Russell 2000 (RUT) -> NASDAQ (NDX) / S&P 500 (SPX) -> TSX Duration: 366 days 2014-2015 Market Events: Top Order: TSX -> Russell 2000 (RUT) -> S&P 500 (SPX) -> NASDAQ (NDX) Duration: 426 days 2018 Market...

brian7683

For the DOT COM crash + Financial Crisis crash, the market tops happened when US10Y monthly RSI touched 46. Only downhill after. Pay attention!

brian7683

The Nasdaq tops are indicated with red vertical lines. DJI / NDX reaches a LOW when Nasdaq tops. I think in 2024/2025, we'll have something similar. The RSI reached 18.72. We are at 29 now. Still room to go down. When the Dow Jones starts rising vs Nasdaq, sell your investments! The top in 2000 was in March. Could we have a top in March 2025?

brian7683

Oct 1998, the Nasdaq broke out of its range and went up 157% over 459 days. I don't think we'll add 157% from here because of diminished returns and we have less time. Maybe 50%? That a Nasdaq at 30,000! It's at 20,000 now. That would be CRAZY! The Top between October and January IMO. What do you think? How high and when is the top?

brian7683

The Bitcoin top happens when USDT dominance reaches a bottom and hits a resistance. If you look at the top for altcoins (OTHERS), they happened on average 1 month after the Bitcoin top. The altcoin season happens when USDT dominance ranges sideways. IMO, USDT dominance will crash from late July until Oct/Nov 2024. From 5.5% to 2.5%. That will be glorious for...

brian7683

On Mars 2000, the Nasdaq peaked. That's also when the ratio RUT/NDX fell at it's lowest. The same thing is happening today. The ratio RUT/NDX is falling quickly! I suspect we reach the lowest in September. Maybe a good time to sell some investments!

brian7683

It's a clean break of the trendline in the RSI. On the monthly and it's almost over so that candle will be final. Bullish on Ethereum vs Bitcoin.

brian7683

ARK will break out from the resistance line at $55. It'll reach maybe $90 or $100 before crashing hard (like the rest of the stock market). Rebuy in 2026 IMO.