high convenience entries for Gold using GOLD/SPX, macd + BB. 2024: feb, march 2020: jan 2022: june (resistance)
In 26th dec, there was a high probability weakness in IWM based on this graph. Top of BB's and impulse has no potential, yet important resistance/break out. //rising TNX is bad for cyclicals or small caps.
High probability entries using TNX trend, macd and BB. Broad market, cyclicals basics. price and macd divergence bearish. bullish if macd is at support and BB is at support/breakout. can combine w/ the trend lines? tightening BB means accumulation, break outs. just for fun and learning purposes. //stay w/ the dominant trend.
Solar stocks follow energy prices (crude oil) and AMEX:USO (oil etf) is about to break out. I read that chinese are outcompeting the west in cheaper solar products. ie NYSE:JKS TNX is at bull market, crude oil and yields correlate (not sure which one cause the other). I look at everything trough probabilities since nothing is ever known. Stocks do bad when...
ie minimize risk by buying positions when both MAs(price action) fits macd potential. Divergence is bearish. maximize gains by ONLY buying good positions.
Looking back, high probability positions buying RIG using macd and fib (50%). Following OSX sector, XLE. XLE/SPY.
building positions with macd and fibonacci (50% break out). w/ all the fundamental reasons:) rising inflation theme. Bullish TNX momentum etc. u could buy big oil, oil drillers or NRGU. Beginning at feb or march; XOM was +15%. high probability.
50% (fib) is a motivational driver. 60% motivates. 100% motivates.. and out of drivers. people make up stories and reasons why something runs, with the PT's and so on? I find Fibonacci to be convenient? (ie fib shows you the strength of trend, that u cant fake. since it's math)
It's obviously easy looking backwards. Using 3mos trend and longterm cycles, customized macd. Lowest risk with best reward. It's probably what the smart money is using anyway. Trend is 45 degrees, so you dont need re-tests.
What we know? Oil is likely bullish in 2nd Half (24'). BTC leads the small caps. TNX usually works as a head wind (and has took a pause). Rate cuts are very bullish for small caps and financials benefit in this environment? technically; the 20dma works as a driver. 50dma and 200dma just gives you context. You can add MACD to confirm things. Im speculating that...
Worldwide, 90days, search trend in Google for bitcoin (red arrows). Orange arrows represent " bitcoin use case ", ie the educated investor? It shows you the mainstream peak euphoria, enthusiasm or fear , usually at market extremes? Highest search volume coincides with trade volume. Other indicator for "hype" would be bitcoin hashtag in twitter/X....
Just for fun, leaving this for future refered. High probability entries using macd, where macd SMA builds higher low trend, w/ FMA crossing over.
Leaving this for fun, for future reference. Gold best time to buy using customized macd, trend line secrets, 20WMA (BB), cycles in the back. Best time to buy when the macd SMA supports above the zero (uptrend). Best if it had an aggressive correction.
high probability entries. using macd, BB (20wma) and trend line secrets. cycles in the back. leaving this for fun, for future reference.
According to ChatGPT: Yes, end-of-quarter sell-offs are a phenomenon observed in the stock market where investors may sell off their holdings toward the end of a financial quarter. There are several reasons why such sell-offs occur: Portfolio Rebalancing: Institutional investors, such as mutual funds and pension funds, often rebalance their portfolios at the...
Interesting concept @ MARA and miners. How stocks move conceptually, dont need to take it at face value. When public gets in and it's euphoric is a bubble indicator. Perception of stock to fly etc. And then return to earth.
Very interesting take on GME. You need a sustainable higher highs for an uptrend, or most of these are perfect bull traps. Way to measure is also due to public sentiment, euphoria. Potentially easy money phase.
During public euphoria, bitcoin needs a sustainable high to maintain it's trend.