Investors seem to have started shifting their focus from equities and rates onto the US dollar. We believe that if this dollar rally accelerates it will be a major headache for emerging markets i.e. China, India, and Russia. In part 1 of this report I would like to talk about the Dragon the Eagle and The Elephant, first let’s start with the dragon; China.Over...
In Q3-Q4 2015 emerging markets bottomed out and started to rally as financial conditions tilted towards easing in Japan, Europe, and the US. Emerging markets benefited from low-interest rates and quantitative easing (QE) as we can see we have had a stunning rally since that time. Evidence from chart below implies that there is a strong correlation between easing...
In Feb 2018 I made a post called the macro case for Uranium about why the Uranium Market was massively under priced If you got in when I did. Then you have been made alot of money recently. This is the power of Understanding macro economics. Read more for free at www.patreon.com
......The beginning of QE saw the Euro stabilize and once the stimulatory effects of lower oil prices worked its way through the Eurozone we saw growth start to come back and the Eurozone bounce back in exports due to a weaker currency. Inflation in the Eurozone picked up and the growth spurt continued through 2017. QE and the stimulatory effects of low...
Founded by the creator of paypal Elon Musk, the company, has some rather concerning fundamentals. Don’t get me wrong, electric vehicles are the future; we need renewable sources of energy before the world reaches peak oil. Big Energy companies are slowly moving away from oil as a source of energy we are witnessing electric cars solar panels pop up everywhere the...
Founded by Elon Musk, the company, has some rather concerning fundamentals. Don’t get me wrong, electric vehicles are the future; we need renewable sources of energy before the world reaches peak oil. Big Energy companies are slowly moving away from oil as a source of energy we are witnessing electric cars solar panels pop up everywhere the future is here and it...
Anyone who knows me personally is cognisant of the fact that I hail from a pharmacy background that involves managing a community pharmacy in my day-to-day life. While this blog is focused on investing in macroeconomics and having a fundamental macroeconomic outlook, today I am heeding the advice of Peter Lynch; ‘‘you don’t have to go looking for investment...
Anyone who knows me personally is cognisant of the fact that I hail from a pharmacy background that involves managing a community pharmacy in my day-to-day life. While this blog is focused on investing in macroeconomics and having a fundamental macroeconomic outlook, today I am heeding the advice of Peter Lynch; ‘‘you don’t have to go looking for investment...