cryptonrek

cryptonrek

Backtesting manual algos for SynQ NET SA Data Application / running scenarios pre-alpha. This is published for record; looking forward through end of February 2019; BTC USD "bottom" should be mid/high 2k's, with key upswing indicated (price action) by orange, date range 3-4 days deviation acceptable for the projection. Price deviations +/- 2.5% threshold.

cryptonrek

Continuing the trend of looking for market cycles that match in volume, velocity, depth, and value - looking for a second sell-down leg, similar to the one just "completed" to the 3600USD range (was looking for 3800, but that was a different trend cycle, this is a new one). If you remove suspect USDT manipulation from the data set, and look at the consumer depth...

cryptonrek

Fundamentals: What's BTC used for? Who's into BTC right now? How much volume is coming in from the retail layer? What will it take for BTC to reach a confident state within the consumer market at scale? BAKKT? ETF? Regulations? Institutional money? Futures? Right now, BTC is being "tamed" and sold down into a buyer base that is lacking quantity, and they're buying...

cryptonrek

Publishing after the fact. Back testing against market abandonment data, price movement on USD pair.

cryptonrek

How is this done? Snapshots in time, from 2017, 2015, 2013, through notable market cycles in Bitcoin, post bullrun cycles, wherein the Sentiment data in social/press/media/conversation matches at a level exceeding 80%, backtesting consumer positioning, checking OTC orders, exchange data, ledger data/transactions, mining data, and pushing forward up to 90 days with...

cryptonrek

This is a 41% probability outcome, based on 32hr of backtesting match data from CryptoSyndicate SA methods, more on that story as it develops.

cryptonrek

Visual representation of expected consumer behavior over the course of the green-bar period shown; degradation of probability same as ZRX "Idea" that was published right before this.

cryptonrek

Plus/minus 3.3% deviations on this projection forward, for an 81% probability for the following 6 bars, and degraded thereafter to 77%, 71%, 65% and so on, every 5,4,3 bars thereafter (respectively). This visualization is representative of expected consumer behaviors during this time period.

cryptonrek

Current market sentiment, trade depth, environment (overall) - 7700USD EOY (2018) High probability, back tested 21 days

cryptonrek

Sentiment analysis included, this projection is a concatenation of various market variables, including hash rate / volume / trade velocity / short-long ration / market sentiment / press / conversation depth / order book history etc.

cryptonrek

Sentiment Analysis output of Cardano ($ADA) to discover support and perceived fair market value with current supply quantity range.