On the Monthly TF, this pair has slowly been on an uptrend while taking impulsive moves and pullbacks along the way. Despite retesting the last temporary support zone around the 140 price level (in Sept 2024), recent events are showing that it may break below that region as we have seen a strong resistance around the 160 region. If it breaks below 139 we might...
From the chart i see a brief accumulation which tended towards the upside to liquidate those in short positions (stop hunt) as a form of manipulation. If it doesn't break through that supply zone there will be a retest to fill-up the FVG below (on the 1H TF) and probably takeout those in long positions before breaking through the supply to give us a new ATH. If...