dailytaguy

dailytaguy Nov 28, 2022

SPXUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 52% SPX, 48% Cash. * CRITICAL RESISTANCE WATCH . US Equity Futures are starting the week down as Cryptos are attempting to finish the week up (barely). Markets are apparently getting spooked by the unrest in China and how it may affect demand if the CCP is to enforce stricter lockdowns...

dailytaguy Nov 27, 2022

BTCUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 55% BTC, 45% Cash. * SUNDAY SCARIES WATCH . Cryptos are mixed today after numerous Altcoins like DOGE, REN (on rumors of Binance acquisition) and LINK rallied to start the weekend. Billionaire hedge fund manager Bill Ackman reiterated his support for Cryptos and their underlying...

dailytaguy Nov 26, 2022

ETHUSD daily guidance is cautiously bullish. Recommended ratio: 65% ETH, 35% Cash. * CRITICAL RESISTANCE WATCH . China's refusal to adapt to the reality that the virus they helped introduce to the world likely cannot and will not ever be eradicated weighed on markets yet again in a short trading day for US Equity and Bond markets. TBH I hope there is more...

dailytaguy Nov 25, 2022

SPXUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 60% SPX, 40% Cash. **Happy Thanksgiving. Thank you for reading, I hope I've helped you navigate the markets in 2022. Through helping you, it has helped me develop a better understanding of what moves markets and I'm grateful.** *Tomorrow is a short day for trading with US stock...

dailytaguy Nov 24, 2022

BTCUSD daily guidance is cautiously bullish. Recommended ratio: 65% BTC, 35% Cash. *Risk-On markets responded positively to the FOMC Minutes today in which most FOMC participants and staff agreed that a 50bps rate hike in December is appropriate and that the odds of a recession in 2023 are quite low at the moment. New Residential Homes sales for November...

dailytaguy Nov 23, 2022

DXYUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 40% DXY, 60% Cash. *I violated the House Rules for showcasing private indicators that I didn't create and was put in timeout in addition to my previous 5 ideas being hidden. Sorry I guess.* *Investors are fleeing DXY and their Fixed Income trades and moving back into Risk-On assets as...

dailytaguy Nov 16, 2022

ETHUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 52% ETH, 48% Cash. * BOUNCE WATCH . BlockFi admitted to having significant exposure to FTX (and associated companies) and are considering filing for bankruptcy after the Founder/COO Flori Marquez announced that they had enough liquidity to remain fully operational on November 8th . ...

dailytaguy Nov 14, 2022

SPXUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 48% SPX, 52% Cash. * MINOR DOWNWARD CORRECTION WATCH . Equities, Equity Futures, Cryptos, Oil, Agriculture, NI225, EURUSD, GBPUSD and JPYUSD are all down. DXY, Long-Term US Treasuries, VIX, Gold, Natural Gas, HSI and CNYUSD are up. US President Biden and China President Jinping met...

dailytaguy Nov 14, 2022

BTCUSD daily guidance is bearish. Recommended ratio: 5% BTC, 95% Cash. * CRITICAL SUPPORT WATCH . Cryptos continue to get clobbered as more and more news about the FTX/Alameda meltdown is coming out. Old videos of people like Jim Cramer and Kevin O'Leary promoting FTX and vouching for SBF is kinda funny but in a sad way. It's quite likely that 10 people...

dailytaguy Nov 12, 2022

DXYUSD daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 20% DXY, 80% Cash. *DXY and Long-Term US Treasuries are down after a barely dovish October CPI print that has investors thinking that the Fed is going to somehow pause rates hikes in 2023 or slow down on December 14th. Equities benefited from this and if it wasn't for the FTX/Alameda fallout then...

dailytaguy Nov 12, 2022

ETHUSD daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 5% ETH, 95% CASH. Happy Veterans Day to those who served. * MASS CRYPTO DELEVERAGING WATCH. The FTX/Alameda meltdown isn't over yet, and keeps getting crazier with speculation that the troubles at Alameda Research started to amplify after the LUNA death spiral caused SBF to funnel funds from FTX...

dailytaguy Nov 11, 2022

SPXUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 60% SPX, 40% Cash. * October CPI rose 0.4%, the same increase as in September ; but what moved markets was that Core CPI rose 0.3% compared to 0.6% in September. Such an impulsive rally after one dovish CPI print is hardly sustainable in a bear market; however, if the UofM Sentiment...

dailytaguy Nov 10, 2022

BTCUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 40% BTC, 60% Cash. * BOUNCE WATCH . Midterm elections are still undecided as results from Arizona, Nevada and Georgia are still being tallied. US October CPI report is due at 830am today , if it comes in lower we may get an intraday pump but the longer term trend is still down. In what...

dailytaguy Nov 9, 2022

DXYUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 42% DXY, 58% CASH. * MINOR SUPPORT WATCH . US Midterm elections are underway and the polls are getting ready to close soon, Republicans are expected to control both the House and Senate when the results come in. DXY, US Long-Term Treasuries, CNYUSD, Metals, Agriculture and Cryptos are all...

dailytaguy Nov 7, 2022

SPXUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 55% SPX, 45% Cash. * CRITICAL RESISTANCE WATCH . US midterm elections are tomorrow and the Republicans appear poised to take the House and Senate, if this happens then a short-term rally would likely ensue leading up to the CPI report on Thursday. Equities, Equity Futures, Cryptos,...

dailytaguy Nov 7, 2022

DOGEUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 55% DOGE, 45% CASH. * GOLDEN CROSS WATCH . Cryptos experienced the Sunday Scaries today off of rumors that Alameda Research may not be as solvent as expected and Binance CEO CZ announcing that he plans to liquidate Binance's FTT holdings over the coming weeks . Chinese health...

dailytaguy Nov 6, 2022

ETHUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 40% ETH, 60% Cash. * CRITICAL RESISTANCE/SUNDAY SCARIES WATCH . Cryptos are struggling to keep the bullish momentum going over the weekend as the post-FOMC rally (fueled by a robust October Jobs Report) tries to carry over into next week's big CPI report on Thursday (11/10). Chinese...

dailytaguy Nov 4, 2022

DXYUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 40% DXY, 60% Cash. * The US October Employment Situation today reported 261k nonfarm payroll jobs added (vs 250k expected), a 0.2% increase in unemployment and a 62.2% labor force participation rate. These numbers hardly reflect monetary tightening (labor force participation rate has...