dailytaguy

dailytaguy

ETHUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 51% ETH, 49% Cash. * BOUNCE WATCH. Cryptos, Equities, Futures, DXY, US Treasuries, Gold and Natural Gas are down while VIX, GBPUSD, EURUSD, Oil, and Agriculture are up. The final US Q2 GDP revision came in at -0.6% compared to -1.6% in Q1 , this is largely due to to a boost in exports...

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SPXUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 52% SPX, 48% Cash. * BOUNCE WATCH . Chicago Fed President Charles Evans mentioned yesterday that FFR will likely top out around March of 2023 . DXY, US Treasuries and VIX are finally down today while Equities, Futures, Commodities, Cryptos, EURUSD and GBPUSD are all up. I think it's...

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BTCUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 40% BTC, 60% Cash. *Technically, BTC and many other Cryptos look relatively good right now compared to Equities which have continued to get sold off in favor of DXY and US Treasuries; some may view this is as a decoupling moment, others as a market lag, and me as a technical correction...

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SPXUSD daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 20% SPX, 80% Cash. * BOUNCE WATCH . Equity Indexes and Equity Futures are down, as are Commodities, GBPUSD and EURUSD... meanwhile DXY, US Treasuries, VIX and Cryptos are up. Interestingly, Cryptos have been defiant recently in the sense that they have held key supports in what can be seen as an...

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DXY daily guidance is cautiously bullish. Recommended ratio: 90% DXY, 10% Cash. *Equity Futures, Agriculture, Metals and EURUSD are down to start the week while DXY, US Treasuries, Energy and Crypto are up. As long as the Federal Reserve's federal funds rate keeps going up and Russia keeps escalating the war in Ukraine, DXY will likely keep going up. Key...

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ETHUSD Daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 10% ETH, 90% Cash. * SUNDAY SCARIES WATCH . This is one of those rare occasions where FA alone can essentially tell you that Equities and Cryptos are both going to continue seeing selling pressure as long as DXY keeps raging higher. As long as the Fed keeps raising rates and Russia keeps raising...

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BTCUSD Daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 10% BTC, 90% Cash. * US August Consumer Confidence rose for the first time after three consecutive months of decline and is now 103.2 , up from 95.3 in July. Meanwhile, Russia is furthering the WW3 narrative and the Federal Reserve is pushing the US into a recession... very 2022. Though Cryptos...

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SPXUSD Daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 15% SPX, 85% Cash. * BOUNCE WATCH. Equities and Futures continue to plummet after a hawkish FOMC meeting has investors bracing for more rate hikes in 2023. Meanwhile, Commodities, Cryptos, DXY, EURUSD, VIX and US Treasuries are either up or flat. Very 2022. Unfortunately, with Putin's latest...

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ETHUSD Daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 20% ETH, 80% Cash. * The Fed announced a 75bps FFR hike today, and so starting tomorrow the FFR target range will be 3%-3.25% . Cryptos initially rallied on the announcement and are now down while Stocks continued to plummet. Equity Futures and EURUSD are down while VIX and DXY are up;...

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BTCUSD Daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 25% BTC, 75% Cash. * FOMC WATCH/BOUNCE WATCH . August US Housing Starts came in 12.2% higher than in July and Building Permits came in 10% lower . So more people were buying homes than in the month prior as if the economic situation was improving, or maybe they were trying to lock in a rate they...

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SPXUSD Daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 30% SPX, 70% Cash . *FOMC WATCH. This week is already off to a volatile start with Equities starting in the red and currently attempting to close in the green. Equities, Equity Futures, Cryptos, Energy, DXY and US 10yr Bonds are either flat or up while VIX, EURUSD, US 30yr Bonds and Gold are flat...

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ETHUSD Daily guidance is bearish. Recommended ratio: 5% ETH, 95% Cash. *Cryptos are experiencing a Sunday Scaries sell-off to end the week as Equity Futures are down to start the week. This is all likely in anticipation for what is expected to be a volatile week with US Building Permits and Housing Starts data coming in before the Federal Reserve announces...

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BTCUSD Daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 40% BTC, 60% Cash . *Cryptos are giving back some of the gains they made last night and are now trading mainly flat for the weekend. The White House administration (once again) urged the SEC and CFTC yesterday to double down on developing new Crypto regulations to protect investors . Key...

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SPXUSD Daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 35% SPX, 65% Cash. * BOUNCE WATCH . All eyes are on the big FOMC statement at 2pm on 09/21. The big volatility and volume surge today was largely due to a whopping $3.2t OpEx (options expiration) . The UofM Consumer Sentiment Index for September came in at 59.5 compared to 58.2 in August,...

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ETHUSD Daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 25% ETH, 75% Cash. *After a successful Merge, Ethereum is now a Proof of Stake network... and in classic Crypto fashion, it appears to be going through a "Buy the Rumor, Sell the News" cycle. Cryptos, Equities, Futures, Commodities and the VIX are down while the Euro, US Treasuries and DXY are up...

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BTCUSD Daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 35% BTC, 65% Cash. *Cryptos and Equities started the day off in the green but are now selling off, interestingly Futures, Gold, DXY, US Treasuries and VIX are down while Energy and certain Precious Metals are up on the day. The Merge is scheduled to launch on Ethereum's Mainnet at around 1am EST...

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SPXUSD Daily cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 35% SPX, 65% Cash. *August CPI surprised to the upside by increasing 0.1% to finish 8.3% higher than the year before compared to 8.1% consensus estimates, sending Equities, Cryptos, Commodities, Euro and Futures into the red. Today's winners are once again a combination of DXY, US Treasuries and VIX....

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ETHUSD Daily cautiously bullish. Recommended ratio: 70% ETH, 30% Cash. * CPI WATCH . The Merge is currently scheduled to launch on Ethereum's Mainnet on 09/14/22 at ~9:40pm . Cryptos, Equities, Futures, VIX, Commodities, US Treasuries and the Euro are all slightly up while DXY is down today. All eyes are on the BLS August CPI report due tomorrow at 830am;...