Macro bearish and at a key resistance area. If you are long, you should take off some
TPs of 125 and 130 seem reasonable with massive growth deceleration coming. Maybe even ~140
DOTBTC bouncing back down on downward trend line relative to BTC Bounce?
- CCJ broke downward trend line - Hitting resistance at 2011 gap - If it breaks, we go straight to ~$38
- HVF Long - It broke a few weeks ago - do not get shaken out, long term easy money
Wedge for potential lower Fractal given for an idea of what to expect Fractal from 2H20 when reflation trade started
Long and Stop targets shown and resistance and support. Clean break looks good
- Sentiment is at extreme lows yet we have seen this before - Trust in the bounce off support - Closing above the 50 MA is super bullish - Fractal reflects the general idea and market sentiment we saw in November 2020
- Bouncing off long term trend - 50MA showing line of support - Target so $718 and $780
We see a deviated breakout from the trend and a continuation downward
I show BTC.D dropping out of its triangle formation. And target based on 2nd half of 2017 bull run.
The pattern is showing a broadening descending wedge. Flow to outperform eth
Update to previous XLE long. XLE following early reflation trade fractal in Q4 2020. Invalidated without a clear bounce in coming weeks.
- SPX nearing 50 MA which has shown as a strong resistance line - Put/Call Ratio above green line while SPX at resistance
Hitting top end of range (March 2021 high) Bounced off trend line (red) Expecting a Q3 2020 like pattern as shown n fractal
Fib retracement analysis TLT bounced off 0.5 and broke 0.382. Today, it is hitting the 0.382 fib resistance. Expecting it to come back down to 0.236
Fractal from September 2020 - January 2021 reflecting beginning of macro environment
I see XLE holding flat and restabilizing before big moves higher.