looks extended, high short volume. could be ready for short squeeze or another leg lower. my guess is lower.
I'm sure this company has a lot of really compelling reasons why they're going to make their valuation make sense at some point in the future but right now the company is worth 67% more than $SHOP which is arguably the most overvalued stock with a market cap above a billion. My guess is we test $60 soon, bounce off $60 to around $65 and then proceed lower...
It seems like increasingly MTUM stocks are underperforming VLUE stocks. Furthermore, this underperformance correlates increasingly negatively to SPY performance. I don't really know what this means.
Shortly before a significant drop in SPY, and after a period of high correlation, the correlation between SPY and MTUM (Momentum stock index) seems to drop below .50. 4/5 cases there is a small to medium drop. The green arrow indicates a case where this pattern predicts a move down, but instead there is a move up. Based on this data I have concluded that it is...
ETSY broke out of a 2 standard deviation, 200 period, 4hr, linear regression model today. MACD is divergent. The fundamentals for the stock are still weak; growth is slowing. There has been heavy volume on the $55 9/20 puts. The P/E ratio is 67, which likely is due to expectations of rapid growth. However the company has failed to deliver on growth expectations...
Looks like silver could be ready to follow in gold's wake?
Reversion to 50 SMA. Government shutdown + bear market + huge market rally last week = pullback to mean. Other factors: SNAP is a particularly weak stock; stiff competition with FB and TWTR. Bearish MACD divergence.