dehoucks

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We are nearing the upper resistance of a century-old parallel channel on the S&P 500 (logarithmic scale). Not financial advice (NFA).

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This is an estimation of BTCUSD performance until 2037, relying on the evolution of the performance of BTC from cycle to cycle.

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This forecast study the dot com bubble and the subprime bubble (2000 and 2008) as referenced for the current AI bubble. The US interest rate serves as reference for forecasting the market top (between sep 2024 and april 2025), and the market bottom (end of 2026). DYOR, NFA.

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Forecast on the S&P500 prices for the next 3 years. This forecast is based on the 2 historical crashes of the S&P500 (2000 / 2008), based on the evolution of US Interest rates. This is forecast is shouldn't be considerate as financial advice.

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My plan on how to navigate this potential BTC cycle. March 2024 : last buy area Feb 2025 : first sell Sept - Oct 2025 : last sell November 2025 - January 2026 : Rotating into shorts / Stablecoins Liquidity farming

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A Solana prediction based on the performances during last cycle of ADA (red) and ETH (purple).

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This prediction is based on the previous cycle of ETH, adapted to our current cycle. Based on this prediction, stop should be reached around September 2025. Bottom should be September - October 2022.

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You will find attached a BTC prediction for the years ahead. The analysis is based on correlation between the two last cycles, adapted to our current cycle.

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Based on the two last cycles variations, here is a potential forecast for the next year.