dorfmanmaster

dorfmanmaster

Four factors that typically influence the dollar’s direction have shifted from bullish to bearish since the onset of the coronavirus crisis: 1) FOMC has shifted to a zero-rate policy • US interest rates (adjusted for inflation) are negative • Growth expectations have slowed while inflation expectations have risen… sending Real Interest Rates down • Fed...

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We have seen the test of the 20sma, being bought back with strong volume. Volume has been decreasing daily for the past 10 days. Today's sell-off is on the lowest volume yet (we are a couple hours away from the close though). Risk-reward-ratio makes sense placing a stop-loss below $252.

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"Because of the rise of remote working, cyberattacks have grown exponentially in recent months, with the FBI reporting a 400% increase in complaints in April versus March, as attackers hope to expose weaknesses in an organization's business continuity strategy" Fundamental difference between some of the biggest cyber-security companies: CrowdStrike's (CRWD)...

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VZ is making a double bottom within the designated channel. Using Fibonacci Retracement levels, we see the support at $53.5, seems to align well with the 38.2% level. Because the 61.8% level was broken, I expect the path of least resistance to be higher.

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The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is a shipping and trade index created by the London-based Baltic Exchange. It measures changes in the cost of transporting various raw materials, such as coal and steel. It is reported around the world as a proxy for dry bulk shipping stocks as well as a general shipping market bellwether. BDRY is an ETF that trades on the Baltic...

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When the 20ema crosses below or above the 50ema, it has been an amazing signal in trend reversals. Creating the strategy on your own is very easy to build and follow. The inverse of the TLT is TBT; which could prove to be interesting if we continue to see interest rates tick higher. Important to note, that the Bull-cross has been much more indicative than the...

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The $SPX is testing its 200sma on a daily chart, on a weekly chart, we are seeing a bearish engulfing candle (2 hours to go for close). Next short-term support is $2950. $VIX back above 40

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IBB is forming an ascending triangle, which is a continuation pattern after the breakout. Important to note the 20sma, which has been very supportive in the trend. The is also some support we can see many candlesticks with bottom wicks, meaning the shorts were met with buyers very quickly.

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On a minute chart, there was a buy trade for 266,069 shares; creating the biggest volume spike in this ETF's short history. (check volume candles on chart). As we see the volume spike on a specific minute (10:48am ET), we can assume the trade was made by probably 1 institution/person. This means this individual created a position of 5 million dollars with a...

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Since late april, WMT has been in an upward channel fighting to stay above the 10sma. The 50 & 200 simple moving average also line up closely with the 38.2% & 50%fibonacci retracement level, respectively. The Bollinger Band Width, which is the difference between the upper and lower BB, is trending lower, indicating a build up in a move up or down. Watching closely.

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Homebuilders have been behaving well in a channel since the market low of march 23rd. Tuesday after memorial day was the first break out of the channel, and today's participation continues to give the sector a more positive view. Next tested resistance which is all time highs around $49.5 Next strong support is the 200sma (red line) RSI is taking us to...

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Software companies have really enjoyed the rally year-to-date. Fortinet shocked the market with a triple play in earnings, which resulted in a jump to start the "All-time-high Run" TWLO, SHOP, OKTA, TTD are some examples of stocks with very similar moves, indicating oversold territory in the RSI can stay oversold for longer than you might expect. Also, the ...

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Palladium broke out of its downward channel, gapping, and landing coincidentally, at the 38.2% fibonacci retracement level. $220 which is the 61.8% retracement level, is the next tested resistance. A break above it, which good intraday volume, could potentially take the price to all time highs.

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Autodesk is breaking the downtrend from late February. Closing above $190 would put us above horizontal resistance, and deny the double-top formation. When using fibonacci retracement lines, we see strong support at the 50%, and we are now rallying of the 61.8%. Important to mention they come out with earnings Wednesday 27th after-market. Buying a week...

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It is rare to see a real V-shaped recovery, IBUY will most likely test previous all-time-high. $54 to $56.5 is an important range. To see it more clearly, just zoom out, or use a weekly chart. OBV has been indicative... as we cross above or below the 200sma, we can see OBV start a trend, either down or up, in conjunction with the 200sma. After our most recent...

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JETS is breaking a bear triangle formation channel, with very high volume as seen in chart. In the chart you can see the next resistance drawn. Which are the 200 and 50 simple moving average. OBV has been trending higher, making higher lows, and is following the channel drawn. JETS is an ETF holding airline stocks, its portfolio top 4 holdings and % weight...

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On the news we could see some re-openings of the economy in certain states. Retail is breaking out of a 2-week consolidation channel; after a double bottom April 3rd. RSI @60, is in an uptrend. (Bull) OBV is still consolidating (Bear) We are testing the 50% fibonacci retracement line at $36.5 (closing price will be important)

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Beyond Technical Analysis I am back from my 2-week trip to China, where I spent time in Beijing (China's capital), Shanghai, and a few days in Hong Kong. My experience: Its presence is non-existent. In terms of how many stores, as well as the quality (size, location, etc.) I saw over there, I found Starbucks to be the most important coffee. Another coffee...