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A 9x "return" in one day for $OSTK!?!
OSTK
, 1D
Long
OSTK: A 9x "return" in one day for $OSTK!?!

NASDAQ:OSTK paid $21.5M for the Bed Bath & Beyond brand (in bankruptcy) and gained around $228M in market cap in just one day. That's one amazing return on investment! With hindsight, I can see how the confirmation of the 200DMA breakout was a buy signal ahead of today's surge. Now, OSTK trades far too high above its upper Bollinger Band (BB) to chase. Instead,...

Trade school: Parabolic move
ITB
, 1D
ITB: Trade school: Parabolic move

The ETF for home builders went parabolic last week, mostly because of an earnings blow-out from DR Horton (DHI). This chart is one to watch to see how dangerous parabolic moves can be. ITB faded intraday after stretching well above its upper Bollinger Band (BB). The BBs define an expected price range. So when price goes well above the upper-BB, the stock, ITB in...

USD/JPY breakout!
USDJPY
, 1W
Long
USDJPY: USD/JPY breakout!

At the time of writing, USD/JPY sits around 116. This level is a major multi-year breakout. The move confirms a month long reversal of a major one-day drop on November 26th. I am a buyer here with a first upside target to next resistance around 118.

MMFI Is A Key Measure of Stock Market Breadth
MMFI
, 1D
MMFI: MMFI Is A Key Measure of Stock Market Breadth

I recently updated my piece defining oversold and overbought conditions using MMFI or the percentage of stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages (DMAs). Here is the key text from that post: Above the 50, AT50, is overbought above 70% Above the 50, AT50, is oversold below 20% The Technicals of Converting from Above the 40 to Above the 50 Converting from...

South African Rand Follows Through
USDZAR
, D
Short
USDZAR: South African Rand Follows Through

The Financial Post had the following to say to try to explain the fresh strength in the South African rand (USD/ZAR): "With the local economy remaining weak and facing power cuts, the rand’s recent rally has been mainly on the back of global factors, including higher commodity prices which benefit resource-rich South Africa and expectations U.S. lending rates...

Important Breakout for Market Breadth
SPX
, D
SPX: Important Breakout for Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary A meme rush pushed the stock market toward summer trading. A breakout for market breadth launched summer trading. Small cap stocks appeared to lead the way even as the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ wilted for the close of trading. The divergence still leaves the stock market poised for an eventual rendezvous with overbought trading...

Normalization Places Fresh Pressures on the Spring Selling Seaso
ITB
, 1D
ITB: Normalization Places Fresh Pressures on the Spring Selling Seaso

{repost from my blog which includes screenshots and charts} Housing Market Intro and Summary The Spring selling season looked like it started strong for new home sales. The data for April reveal a story evolving differently. Absolute inventories rose for both existing and new homes and yet sales declined. Housing starts also suffered a setback. Median prices of...

Bitcoin Breakout
BTCUSD
, 1D
Long
BTCUSD: Bitcoin Breakout

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) wiped away my wariness about the price action with one clean breakout that finished a reversal of March’s steep losses. For about five days, Bitcoin was teasing its way toward a challenge of overhead resistance at its downtrending 200-day moving average (DMA). During the previous day, Bitcoin gained about 13% and sliced right through the...

Bitcoin's Reversal of the March Crash Faces Critical Resistance
BTCUSD
, 1D
Long
BTCUSD: Bitcoin's Reversal of the March Crash Faces Critical Resistance

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has had an interesting – and surprising – relationship with the recent crash in financial markets. Bitcoin fell 39.1% on March 12th just as the crash was accelerating. The S&P 500 (SPY) continued to sell off for another week and a half after Bitcoin crashed. By the time the S&P 500 bottomed Bitcoin had rebounded by 38.6% and effectively confirmed...

Bitcoin tests 50DMA support
BTCUSD
, 1D
Long
BTCUSD: Bitcoin tests 50DMA support

While the stock market sells off, Bitcoin is also selling off albeit less dramatically. Still, the narrative on crypto, especially Bitcoin, has positioned this space as a refuge from financial turmoil. If nearby supports do not hold in this time, the narrative will be seriously called into question! i largely ignore the explanations offered for Bitcoin's ups and...

EUR/TRY trend turning upward
EURTRY
, 1D
Long
EURTRY: EUR/TRY trend turning upward

Suddenly, the Turkish lira is experiencing accelerating weakness. EUR/TRY, for example, has been spinning higher lows and higher highs include this week's fresh breakout. These runs usually continue until some dramatic flourish with the Turkish lira losing a LOT within minutes. I won't be surprised to see a 10%+ move in the coming weeks. Note that those climactic...

QRVO as a breakout buy
QRVO
, 1D
Long
QRVO: QRVO as a breakout buy

QRVO is a classic breakout buy. Ride the momentum higher, stop out below the previous day's intraday low (horizontal black line) NASDAQ:QRVO

Roku bullish breakout and bearish breakdown areas
ROKU
, 1D
ROKU: Roku bullish breakout and bearish breakdown areas

Roku (ROKU) has made an amazing recovery since perfectly testing the $100 level. The news was all bad about competition, but analysts eventually came to the rescue with reassuring reiterations and upgrades. The change in sentiment was confirmed when ROKU printed a 50DMA breakout. Now, the stock has very well-defined bullish breakout and bearish breakdown areas. I...

Surprising Dollar Holds Trend Line – Next Up A Breakout?
DXY
, 1D
DXY: Surprising Dollar Holds Trend Line – Next Up A Breakout?

The U.S. Federal Reserve is set to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in the coming week (July 31). The odds for at least another 50 basis points by next January are around 61.9% according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Yet, the U.S. dollar index (DXY) has regained new life. After breaking critical support at its 200-day moving average (DMA) in late June, the U.S....

Picking a Buy Point for Uber (UBER)
UBER
, 1D
Long
UBER: Picking a Buy Point for Uber (UBER)

The IPO for Uber (UBER) has fallen out the bed. The company priced its IPO at $45, opened at $42, and closed at $41.57. UBER’s one-day total loss in value from the IPO price was apparently the largest in history. For a moment, UBER looked like it could stabilize around its poor first day. Unfortunately, the next trading day a major market sell-off helped take UBER...

Bears Put On Notice As Stock Market Finds Fresh Support
SPX
, 1D
Short
SPX: Bears Put On Notice As Stock Market Finds Fresh Support

Above the 40 (March 11, 2019) – Bears Put On Notice As Stock Market Finds Fresh Support March 11, 2019 by Dr. Duru AT40 = 63.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 41.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 14.3 (10.7% drop) Short-term Trading Call: bearish Stock Market Commentary The stock...

Foot Locker: How to Trade A Stock That Gaps and Craps
FL
, 1W
FL: Foot Locker: How to Trade A Stock That Gaps and Craps

Foot Locker: How to Trade A Stock That Gaps and Craps March 4, 2019 by Dr. Duru Foot Locker (FL) reported earnings before the market opened on March 1, 2019. The initial reaction to the news was extremely positive: FL gapped up 14.0%. Sellers took over from there and pushed the stock down to a close with a 6.0% gain. The stock still managed to close above its...

S&P 500 Performance During Overbought and Oversold Trading
SPX
, 1D
SPX: S&P 500 Performance During Overbought and Oversold Trading

S&P 500 Performance During Overbought and Oversold Trading Conditions January 31, 2019 by Dr. Duru Introduction The percentage of stocks trading above important moving averages provides good information on the breadth of the stock market. I use the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) because the historical data are...

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