Evidence leans toward a bearish scenario due to the breakout below 9,200 and seasonal weakness in summer months. However, traders should remain open to bullish reversals, especially if institutional buying continues, and consider range-bound strategies if volatility stabilizes. Monitoring fundamental factors like weather in cocoa-producing regions and global...
Since mid-September CC has started an up-trending channel reaching above 2600. This is usually Put range to me: specs tend to sell at these levels reason being short term it is a peak. I would not be surprised if it would not hold. Would be interesting to see the put/call ratio at this level.
On the other hand, much has been said about recession in these last...
the current pattern is considered a bearish pattern, volume becomes a key indicator. If volume breaks to the sell side, then there is a sell-off. I doubt such a move on a commodity, would not be surprised if it was a stock.
This morning Reuters published how the energy crisis is hurting heavy industries such as BASF and other german companies, this no doubt is a...
#Cocoa can’t seem to take a clear heading, the august attempt failed. USD keeps consolidating (@109) harming commodities such as cocoa. On a technical view: cc tried for a run above 2400 on the 22nd of August, but this push was cut short by negative world news from higher inflation, more worries from China, Europe, and mostly the energy crisis that will seem to...
On the daily graph, #CC is attempting a break-out from its mid-February downhill from 2800 down to 2250. It has tried monthly to break through that resistance (RED) and failed, it is now on 9th of august attempting yet again. However, this time it looks more supportive as its MACD has turned positive since mid-July and better buy volumes also. Its short term...
I will start with Base Support (SB) which in my last analysis I said: ‘Base Support SB at 2315 still holds, if this breaks next support would be around 2200 ($80q) followed by 2150.’
On July 1, the price of CC touched the base support level, and bounced back up only to fall on July 7th again and close the week on the SB level. This is clearly not a positive and...
Cocoa remains under strong downward pressure since May. It has failed to break above slope D. The averages are also holding a downtrend. SB base support at 2315 still holds, if this breaks the next support would be around 2200 ($80q) followed by 2150. MACD is approaching its first bounce level of -40, could make an attempt higher. Keep this in sight. If this...
Tecnical analisis on cocoa trend: Cacao rompe soporte de su canal inferior de 2500 cerrando en 2455 (contratos de Julio). Próximo soporte S1 en 2400, S2 en 2300. Promedios de media móvil ahora en negativos, reflejando una tendencia bajista a corto plazo. También más volumen de venta que de compra, otro factor para la baja.
