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GBPJPY made a very strong reversal in the second half of 2024, following a sharp drop of more than 10%, with an aggressive bearish impulse and also broke the lower trendline of the impulsive channel back in August. Since then, the first recovery unfolded in three waves, suggesting this move could be part of a complex correction—currently still unfolding as a wave...

ew-forecast Updated 

BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF with ticker IBIT made a massive rally in 2024, which can be wave 3 of an ongoing five-wave bullish impulse. Despite the recent decline at the beginning of 2025, it's still above 42 invalidation level, and as long as it's above that level, it can be wave 4 correction, so we may still see that 5th wave this year. The Elliott Wave Principle...

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DeFi Index may have a completed irregular flat correction within an uptrend, which may cause another rally this year, according to Elliott wave theory. Cryptocurrencies are recovering and DeFi Index is now bouncing back above EW channel, so a five-wave impulse into wave (C) of an irregular (A)(B)(C) flat correction in blue wave B can be finished. It means that a...

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Silver made a very strong drop after breaking out of the upward channel at the end of March. This caused a sharp and fast move below 29 dollars where metal is showing some first evidence of a bottom as price recovers back above 32.00. In fact, this can be the beginning of a new impulse, especially if we consider that on a daily chart market might complete an...

ew-forecast

In analysis from a few weeks back, we talked about bearish USD and presented a bearish outlook. Since then dollar fall nicely and one of the reason are also lower US yields. Looking at US yeilds I see bearish impulsive price action down from 4.8%, which could keep the US dollar in a downtrend. What we’ve seen so far is a strong rebound from 3.8%, as shown on the...

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Ripple with ticker XRPUSD hit all-time highs for the final blue wave V as expected, so we should be aware of limited upside this year. However, despite recent slowdown, which we see it as an ABC correction within red subwave (IV), there can still be room for another rally this year, at least up to 4-5 area to complete final subwave (V) of V of an impulse on a daily chart.

ew-forecast

Cable is making a very nice and strong extension higher on the 4-hour time frame, so it appears to be impulsive. We should be aware of further upside, especially as the market has broken out of a base channel, which typically happens within wave three of three. In fact price is now even higher after a triangle in wave four so wave 5 of red (3) is in progress as...

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Some nice retracement on 10-year US notes in the last three weeks looks corrective because of a clear three-wave drop with a triangle in wave (B). This suggests US yields could be trading at resistance, and if we consider the somewhat dovish stance from Powell and the FOMC last week, the market might be positioned for a lower USD. In this scenario, EURUSD could...

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World Index ETF with ticker TSX:XWD has extended its rally for 261,8% Fibonacci retracement, which is ideal zone for wave 3, so current slow down can be just a higher degree ABC correction in wave 4. It’s now testing interesting and important textbook support at the former wave 4 swing low and 38,2% Fibonacci support area, from where we may see a bullish...

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AUDNZD pair turned sharply and impulsively down at the end of 2022, probably for wave A. Since the beginning of 2023, it’s been trading in a correction within a downtrend, ideally in a bigger ABC recovery within wave B, where we were observing subwave C as an ending diagonal/wedge pattern. We were actually tracking final subwave (5) of the wedge pattern within...

ew-forecast Updated 

Silver made a three-wave abc correction in wave 4 which can now extend the rally for wave 5 within a new five-wave bullish cycle towards 34-35 area. After recent five-wave impulse into wave "i", followed by an abc corrective setback in wave "ii", it formed a nice intraday bullish setup. Seems like it's now ready for a bullish resumption within wave "iii", so more...

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Trump tariffs and trade wars continue to dominate the market, and we have seen a strong sell-off in the US dollar recently. This reinforces the idea that the US may not win this battle easily, as some other countries have already responded and are trying to hit back. So it’s not a surprise that in this uncertainty stocks are also in a consolidation, but...

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Bitcoin here is the thing... 1. For now drop is not impulsive, so can be correction 2. 4th wave pullbacks will ideally stabilize near 50/38.2%. Just testing the important zone 77k-85k 3. Old high and unfilled gap are crucial to cause a bounce, otherwise the major high is in 4. You don't want to see this fourth wave breaking the lowest base channel line,...

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Gold started the year bullish with a strong extended leg to the upside close to 3k, but the move looks impulsive and may have found a temporary top near 2950. The reversal this week is coming from an ending diagonal, with the price now attempting to break the lower trendline support of the bullish channel. This suggests gold could be entering a corrective wave 4,...

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Bitcoin remains under intraday bullish pressure with room for more gains, especially if we consider that NASDAQ100 is still pointing higher. So, seems like risk-on sentiment is still here and we should be aware of a bigger recovery in the Crypto market, even because of the USdollar that shows strong bearish momentum. Crypto TOTAL market cap chart looks to have a...

ew-forecast Updated 

VANTAGE:NG Natural gas looks to be turning bullish after a projected five-wave impulse from the lows, followed by an ABC correction. It gave us a nice bullish setup formation by Elliott Wave theory, so more upside is in view, especially if breaks back above 4.0 bullish confirmation level, just watch out for short-term intraday pullbacks.

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Emerging markets, represented by the EEM chart, have been trending lower since October 2024 in what appears to be a complex W-X-Y corrective pattern. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) experienced a strong rally, driven by Trump’s victory in the US elections. However, the rally formed a wedge pattern, which suggests that its upside momentum may be coming to an...

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AUDJPY pair is sharply and impulsively recovering after we spotted the wedge pattern, so it’s now rising in minimum three waves A/1-B/2-C/3 that can retrace the price back to the starting point of the wedge pattern and back to 99-100 area, especially if we consider an unfilled GAP at 98.35 level. Currently we can see it making a five-wave impulse into wave A/1, so...