The stock market has been very bullish over the last two weeks, with strong gains this week following China's policy actions to support their economy. This has had a positive impact on stocks globally, and it’s no surprise to see the S&P 500 trading higher. Looking at the December futures contract, from an Elliott Wave perspective, we can clearly see a five-wave...
We want to share an interesting pattern on the monthly GBTC – Grayscale Bitcoin Trust chart. It’s a nice bullish cup and handle pattern, where the handle is supported by a 20-month moving average. Cup and Handle is a bullish pattern that can push GBTC, Bitcoin and the whole Crypto market higher at the end of 2024 or the beginning of 2025. The cup and handle...
In this article, I will take a closer look at AUD/CHF, and the reason for focusing on this pair is the potential divergence between the RBA and the SNB, which could push the pair even higher. The RBA is expected to hold rates at 4.35%, as inflation slightly increased year-on-year to 3.8% in the second quarter, up from 3.6% in the first quarter. On the other hand,...
Dollar Index – DXY has turned bearish after the corrective rally stopped at 105.70-106, an important resistance area at the end of June. Since then, the price even accelerated lower through summer so it appears that a bearish impulse is in play, but with recent touch of a new swing low, DXY is possibly in fifth wave, so be aware of some support in weeks ahead. But...
USDJPY slightly stabilized yesterday due to higher US yields following Powell's rate announcement and press conference. However, note that the rise from the most recent lows occurred in three waves and stalled at the previous swing high at 143.80 resistance. This suggests there could be new sellers attempting to push prices back to the lows. But keep in mind, this...
Back in August the SP500 turned down for a deeper correction back to 5k area, at the same time when drop on all major indexes and some big cap names were pretty aggressive. However, there was a huge spike in VIX (not shown on this chart), so it must have been a lot of fear involved, which after initial selling shows extreme pessimism and that's when the market...
Grayscale to Launch First U.S. XRP Trust, Paving the Way for Potential ETF There were report that Grayscale is launching the first U.S. XRP Trust Fund, offering accredited investors direct exposure to XRP. This move is seen as a step towards an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF). Grayscale has a history of pioneering crypto financial products, including converting...
Nvidia has pulled back and touched the $100 level, which aligns with the 78.6% retracement of the rise from August. This could be an important support level, especially considering that a triangle pattern is one potential scenario here. We also believe that the overall stock market, along with major indices, could remain range-bound for another week until the Fed...
On a higher degree time frame, we see gold coming higher into a fifth wave, but it may take some time before it finds the top, as we see an unfinished lower degree impulse. Gold remains in strong and impulsive five-wave bullish cycle on a daily chart and there's space for more upside, we will just have to be aware of a higher degree wave IV correction still this...
Amazon is trading an in impulsive bullish cycle since the beginning of 2023 and it looks to be unfinished from technical point of view and from Elliott wave perspective, because it needs to be finished by five waves. Recent decline has occurred due to recession fears, but it was in three legs A-B-C, which belongs to a higher degree wave 4 correction, especially if...
Crude oil turned down this summer, from the upper triangle resistance trendline, as shown on our daily count, so it looks like more weakness can be coming still this year as drop from 81 unfolded in five waves while pullback to 80.00 can possibly be already completed after recent drop below $70, and now also out of a triangle. So we think that bears are in...
It’s been some time since we last looked at the Thomson Reuters CRB Index, a key indicator for tracking commodity performance and gauging inflation. With inflation softening recently, it’s not surprising that the CRB Index is also reversing. The chart shows a three-wave rally from the 2023 lows, which suggests a corrective movement in an ABC formation, as...
USDNOK is sideways for the last two years that looks like a triangle within uptrend. It's an ABCDE pattern where wave E can be in play, ideally still to the lower side of a range for subwave (C) after the recent subwave (B) rally. Notice that we see price turning sharply and impulsively from the upper triangle resistance line as expected, so wave (C) is in full...
EURUSD is coming higher, possibly breaking out of a triangle on a higher time frame chart, as market breaks above 1.1140, so it seems that some big moves can be happening. In fact, we clearly see higher highs and higher swing lows on 4h time frame, that looks like a wave 3 from the last two weeks, so more upside can be coming after a current pullback. Support on...
After some initial recession fears spurred by the NFP report showing higher unemployment (4.3%) at the start of Avugust, stocks have bounced back up as last week’s retail sales data indicates the economy isn’t as bad as feared. CPI figures have also helped stabilize the markets, and with the FED potentially closer to cutting rates in September, the stock market...
ALTseason actually started already back in 2023, when we got a nice five-wave bullish impulse in the ALTcoin dominance chart with ticker OTHERS.D. It was first leg A of a three-wave A-B-C rally. We have seen a slow down in the last couple of months along with the whole Crypto market and that's why most of the ALTcoins came lower than Bitcoin, but we can see a...
DeFi Index made nice and clean five-wave rally from June of 2023 into March of 2024, which confirms bottom in place, especially if we respect a complex W-X-Y corrective decline since March 2024 highs till August 2024. It's actually already bouncing quite strongly away from key 78,6% Fibo. retracement after potentially completed projected complex W-X-Y corrective...
If we take a look at the hourly chart of BlackRock Bitcoin ETF with ticker IBIT, we can see nice and clean five-wave intraday rally from the lows, followed by an a-b-c corrective setback with first support at 32 area, while second deeper one would be around 31 area. So, seems like it's forming a nice intraday bullish setup formation, thus watch out on a bullish...