At least wait before this 1330.86 zone is cleared, if at all short here.
Decisive and impulsive move down below 0.87980, someone WANTS it lower without doubt...
Bearish engulfing on MONTHLY, plus weak retracement attempt, below 0.8764 gap zone down...
Found support as expected in this 100.19 area, this 102.95 - 103.13 area is critical. Medium term higher prices expected.
Monthly chart shows importance of leading central median line...
Shorts approaching this extended demand zone. Still some room for intra-day traders, I wait.
Correction in bull trend, could touch 100.19. I stand aside, as Ukraine tensions would mean sudden reverse of this bear candle and new highs.
We have EURUSD in Monthly, Weekly and Daily ABOVE the 20 MA, and price is now coiling in front of this major dynamic trendline that acts as barrier. a) if a breakout higher happens, I will wait for a retest, which is highly probably at such major multi-month trendlines - and then if it shows up GO LONG. b) rejection of trendline : wait for a break below 1.3650...
We saw in the second weekly bearish candle a higher low and bear swing failure, now the 50% line of this whole decline @ 545.09 USD will be key for any further advance. Conservative would be to wait before this area is cleared and watch first what happens in this manipulative zone between 545.00 USD - 560.00 USD.
If you look at yesterday`s candle, it doesn`t really look like an end-of-world selloff, the blow in DAX was more intense...
We will see if the Ukraine issue creates the demand to push even higher above this 145.73 - 147.00 range, which has acted as sellers region previously.
This last weekly bullish engulfing had a lower close, the big picture shows accelerating bullish ( extreme ) momentum. One can play this aggressive intra-day, but being very picky and extremely conservative I want to wait how price reacts at the 1.09000 area. Were buyers removed from this level through the recent dip-buying - or not ? Wait and see...
Medium-term ( 2-4 weeks ) I don`t really see this pair climbing back - and higher - than 145.00, but even if it does fall, then beware of this tricky area around 137.00. I want to see a break and weekly retest or multi-candle confirmation on Daily before I take a directional trade here. And always watch USDJPY and the NIKKEI as well...:-)
Rejected multiple attempts to rise, I will watch the obvious support band, at the moment no reversal in sight. But watch geopolitical risks and sudden severe risk-off scenarios....
Could go up to 379.50 if NASDAQ co-operates, before a decision is made about a possible 2nd ( lower ) high.