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Steel in strong high-quality trend: use as "higher TF"
X
, 1D
Long
X: Steel in strong high-quality trend: use as "higher TF"

Strong trend. Can serve as the "higher TF" for smaller TF trades. POI's: Steel broke out from downtrend POC is supporting the main uptrend. If already long on the daily. TP at $46.50, the highest price reached by previous peeks The anchored vwap is shown below - a close-up of the trend. Have not chosen a trade/plan yet. Hope this is useful as the "raw...

FED's - Thelma & Louise or Brinkmanship?
SPX
, 1D
SPX: FED's - Thelma & Louise or Brinkmanship?

Chart shows falling market breadth: White: % of stocks in NYSE above their 20 DMA Red: % of stocks in NYSE above their 200 DMA Open questions: Is the market playing "Brinkmanship" with the FED over raising interest rates? Brinkmanship: The Cuban Missile Crisis, as it is known, is an example of brinksmanship because both sides of the conflict allowed the...

Penguin: "BTFD ?!?" - % of stocks above their DMA.
MMTW
, 1D
Long
MMTW: Penguin: "BTFD ?!?" - % of stocks above their DMA.

The daily chart is showing market sentiment from a breadth perspective: the percentage of stocks on the NYSE (2943 stocks) that are above their daily moving averages. The trend is increasingly bullish but that increase has peaked in recent days. [bDetail: MMTH - RED - Percentage of stocks above their 200 DMA MMOF - Percentage of stocks above their 150...

SPX, M - Been here before?
SPX500
, 1M
Long
SPX500: SPX, M - Been here before?

Chart shows 2 months with similar candles to the current candle. One instance leads a bull rally. The second leads to several moths "inside" and then breakout to the upside. Criteria for similarity: 1) Red 2) Low > 21 EMA (third line from top). Note: 200SMA out of scope. 3) candle body contained in top half of candles full range (High - Low)

SPX 2W 'under control'
SPX500
, 2W
Long
SPX500: SPX 2W 'under control'

Last 3 two-week candle bodies have the same bottom: 4464 Random? I think not.

SPX500 bearish as Momentum turns down
SPX500
, 60
Short
SPX500: SPX500 bearish as Momentum turns down

SPX500 1hr chart on top 200MA and 50MA will 'death-cross' (60m chart) if the acceleration of downward momentum continues. Downward momentum is evident in 3 custom momentum indicators. The momentum picture is similar (bearish) on all TF's from 30m to 240m. I intend to short upon sufficient confirmation of a reversal.

Daily BTC - must close above THIS number
BTCUSD
, 1D
BTCUSD: Daily BTC - must close above THIS number

On the daily Bitcoin chart the last "lowest low" was at 32720. Closing the day above that is bullish. Below that? bearish. Overall pattern is a (imperfect) bullish wedge.

SPX/VIX ratio peaked?
SPX
, 15
Short
SPX: SPX/VIX ratio peaked?
Updated 

worth following this closly

The Black Penguin Waddle of 2021
SPX500
, 1D
SPX500: The Black Penguin Waddle of 2021

The chart is one possible visualization of the confluence of unpredictable high-impact events. For example: February 24th, 2020 World Health Organization declared the COVID-19 outbreak a pandemic and warned that "much of the global community is not yet ready, in mindset and materially,.." Over the following eleven months over 2 million lives were lost...

Bull inside Bear week - a Known Known
SPX500
, 60
SPX500: Bull inside Bear week - a Known Known

Top: SPX500 Bottom: Combo indicator (momentum, ATR, Volume) Bullish kickoff at the Red arrow. Trend followers, do your thing. Bearish divergence looms (blue arrows) over next few weeks. Recognize it when it arrives. Its a known known.

COVID19 the Jerk got worse in a Snap
CONFIRMED_US
, D
Short
CONFIRMED_US: COVID19 the Jerk got worse in a Snap

Part 1: FULL INTRO The goal remains the application of 'derivatives of displacement' to describe the spread of COVID-19. The points made will apply to any application over time (not just virus spread). This charts focus is on COVID19's "snap". Snap is the 4th derivative of displacement: Rate of spread (how many each day) Velocity of spread: Change in Rate over...

American Jerk behind COVID surge : Derivatives of displacement
CONFIRMED_US
, D
Short
CONFIRMED_US: American Jerk behind COVID surge : Derivatives of displacement
Updated 

Cleaner Chart: The recent increase in acceleration (known as "jerk") of US COVID cases is "re-bending the curve". In this context the verbal descriptions of change, and its derivatives ,becomes both interesting and important Charts showing ongoing change in confirmed US COVID19 cases are themselves constantly changing. Understanding these 'charts of change'...

Significant downside for US equities
US30
, 15
Short
US30: Significant downside for US equities

The bottom indicator suggests any change in momentum will be downward as several different momentum lengths are all peaking around the same time, Notes: US30 (AKA Dow, YM) In upper chart in RENKO Therefor the time axis is irregular. But the time of interest is NOW (where the penguin lies)

Evidence for inflation: Changes in DXY/CPI
DXY
, 1W
DXY: Evidence for inflation: Changes in DXY/CPI

Inflation is erosion of the dollars buying power: ( when consumer prices are changing (rising) faster than the value of the dollar.) One way to quantify this is the ratio between the Dollar (DXY) and CPI (the Consumer Price Index). A decrease in this ratio is consistent with the concept of inflation As of August 9th 2020 two analysis below (A & B) show** the...

Party like the Summer of '99 [Humor]
NAS100
, 1W
NAS100: Party like the Summer of '99 [Humor]

A lighthearted comparison of the NASDAQ index, today vs the summer of 1999. This was the final ascent of the dot.com bubble before it's crash Sung to the music of "Summer of 69

Gold / Silver ratio climbs as Covid 19 spreads
XAUUSD
, 240
Long
XAUUSD: Gold / Silver ratio climbs as Covid 19 spreads

Changes in the Gold/Silver ratio indicate changes in the demand for Gold as compared to demand for another precious metal, namely silver. Ratio increases often coincide with accelerations in market volatility and, consequently, money flow to Gold, long considered a "safe haven". The ratio's climb is approximately linear and the black trend line is consistent with...

Fed Prints Money to Fight COVID19: M1 and M2
M1
, 1W
M1: Fed Prints Money to Fight COVID19: M1 and M2

The chart shows the sharp increase in US "money supply: upon Senate approval of a $2 trillion coronavirus stimulus package Money Supply: There are two definitions of money: M1 and M2 money supply. M1 money supply includes those monies that are very liquid such as cash, checkable (demand) deposits, and traveler’s checks M2 money supply is less liquid in nature and...

Short the unemployment pop?
NAS100
, 2W
Short
NAS100: Short the unemployment pop?
Updated 

Inspired by the analysis of @pkcap, all mistakes are my own Chart shows the relationship between the NAS100 index (futures) and unemployment. Note the pop in unemployment due to covid lock down. Will the index fall? Can it be propped up by the Fed until elections?

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