gb50k

gb50k

The data series for US Corona (Covid19) deaths appears neat and smooth in Heikin Ashi candles. Main stream analysis focuses on positive aspects "were in this together". The chart presents a refreshingly negative (and incomplete) analysis and must be sung to "Hotel California" Inspired by @Rag2riches ideas and lyrics

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The WEEKLY SPX/VIX ratio, a measure of risk adjusted value of the SPX index, reached 2 trend-lines today. Is this "support"?

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The SPX/VIX ratio, a measure of risk adjusted value of the SPX index, reached a trend-line today. Some would call this a "support"

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ATR and Momentum are built in indicators that are not indicators . In other words, they are *not* lagging simplifications of a process (ex. stochastics) and they don't give approximate readings between 0 and 100 that require further interpretation. Instead they give precise real-time measurements of price change in dollars and cents (or other units) without...

gb50k Updated 

New working chart. As before, converted prices into RSI (0-100) for comparison

gb50k Updated 

RENKO chart Lower indicator (an oscillator with a mid-line) shows the large waves are topping

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Lower indicator (an oscillator with a mid-line) shows the large waves are topping

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Multiplying SPX by the gold/silver ratio produces, what appears to be, clear cut levels. In the past, when the measure has bounced off a level, the SPX (below) has reversed.

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Top - trend indicator with TL over its peaks. Recently violated (right) Below- NYA price NYA is a measure of market breadth and/or broad sentiment.

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The tickers are MMTW, MMRH and MMFI. Interesting that they are close to historic trend-lines given recent volatility (date: 12/11/18). Possibly a unique opportunity to take a longterm position (days or weeks) in equities.

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This is an attempt to predict future price movements. The trend appears clear. But its an illusion created by aggregating random returns. This is the random walk. It can also be an allegory for life.

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The chart: 1) Describes the random walk process. 2) Displays an example of a Random Walk 3) Makes a philosophical point that is almost, but not entirely unrelated to trading.

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All time low for GOLD/DOW ratio in futures. Violates horizontal trendline. I think it means that it might go lower. If so, short that relationship.

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the idea: the main asset classes are negatively correlated (stocks, bonds, dollar, gold) so shorting its all should be a dynamically hedged position. Shorting : Dollar DXY x 2 Dow: US30 x 2 Gold: GC Bonds: ZN target: bottom of wedge, then yellow circle

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Capital flows can be inferred from a comparison of SPY GLD USO TLT in terms of relative RSI's

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The ratio VIX/SPY goes down when SPX 0.05% goes up. This makes it easier to see the ratios lower limit (and SPX's upper limit) Today VIX/SPY broke a support. SPX has not yet mimicked this move If VIX/SPY returns to baseline (as it has before) it implies a move of SPX500 to ~2183.

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A chart of the SPX-DOWI premium organizes price into an orderly channel. One salient target for the current bear market is SPX 1222 in November 2016.

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Expected to continue until we see a lower wick: FANG stocks (FB, AAPL, AMZN, NFLX, GOOG) typically outperform the NASDAQ index. Not this week. Buying opportunity?