Past ~1.5yrs the ratio between SPX500 and gold (XAUUSD) has followed a channel defined by a 3pt trend line on top and its parallel 2pt trend line below. Currently close to its upper limit. The past 2 peaks were "resolved" by a short term increase in the price of gold, thereby lowering the ratio (increasing the denominator). Alternative resolutions include:, SPY...
DUST is the X2 bear ETF for Gold Miners. The ratio DUST/SPY, on a log scale, suggests we may hit a limit on how high DUST (correlated with short gold) can go relative to SPY
When 5 or more experienced traders say "wow", "OMG" or equivalent about a tanking asset, and do so within 50 seconds of each other, the smart money is likely out and the asset is likely (>50%) to bounce. The System: - when you see 5 in 50sec - buy small position @ market. - speed is crucial - do not check chart - after purchase, check chart - if its bounced, exit...
When shorting VXX you often are trying to profit on decay, independent of small price swings. Pairing each shorted VXX share with 2 shares of SDS (Short SPY, leveraged) produces a position that is short on the volatility (short VXX) but partially hedged for price movements. WARNING: a short VXX position exposes you to VXX spikes that can result in portfolio...
TLT's AH gap often rivals it's day returns. More over, the gap is often negatively correlated with returns during normal trading hours. This presents as the daily zigzag observed between daily returns (Blue) and AfterHours returns (Red). A 5 day EMA (bottom) of both AH and intraday returns shows when its most profitable to be long/short TLT by day and then take...