Summary
The surge in energy and agricultural commodities in the past 6 months had materialized into serious inflation even down to the consumer end across the globe. To cope with inflation, the Fed has begun to raise rate at an accelerating pace. The rise in the interest rate of the USD causes dysfunction of traditional risk haven such as Japanese Yen FX:USDJPY...
Summary
The semiconductor sector is expected to enter a difficult period with demand contraction due to recession and crypto winter. As the US government is increasing the effort to use semiconductors as a leverage to put pressure on China, companies in the sector might be forced to prioritize the national political agenda against profit and growth , which...
Summary
This week we are sharing 2 rebound trade opportunities in healthcare and biotech, AMEX:XLV and AMEX:XBI , which are showing relative strength against S&P500 and Nasdaq , making them better candidates to trade for rebound.
Since the beginning of 2022, skyrocketing inflation and increasing recession risk have pushed the broad equity markets to the...
Summary
This week we are sharing 2 rebound trade opportunities in healthcare and biotech, AMEX:XLV and AMEX:XBI , which are showing relative strength against S&P500 and Nasdaq , making them better candidates to trade for rebound.
Since the beginning of 2022, skyrocketing inflation and increasing recession risk have pushed the broad equity markets to the...
Summary
3 years into Covid and the risk of recession starts to outplay the chip shortage story of semiconductor industry. With its unmovable monopoly status in its own specialties, we think there is alpha for Qualcomm against its semiconductor peers . Dominance in modem chips and smartphone processors, the company recently declared another victory as Samsung ...
2 weeks ago we discussed why the HSI:HSI rebound rally would be slowed by profit takers (). The choppiness in the index we saw for the past 2 weeks was also due to the discrepancy between the China and US equity market. While the SSE Composite SSE:000001 still held above 3300 level, the US equity indexes all broke through the 2022-May low due to the increasing...
Last Friday WTI crude NYMEX:CL1! dropped together with the broader equity markets and closed almost 7% lower at $107.99, slightly below the 50 days moving average. Earlier in the month the oil was still trying to break and stay above $120 however the hype cooled down quickly, partly due to the sharp 75 basis points rate hike by the Fed on Wednesday.
This recent...
The recent depreciation of JPY has attracted much attention, not just from speculators, but also the general public. A friend of mine (who has zero interest in trading and investment) texted me last week and said that he has “bottom-fished” yen to save cost for his next “home visit”. Of course, he is not from Japan. As a millennial grew up in the 80s and 90s,...
While my view toward HSI remains bullish since the end of May after the index has decisively surged through its major resistance of the 50 days moving average, one need be aware that the index has entered a choppy zone due to the emerging selling pressure from profit taking of short term traders. That said, one should avoid breakout buying as higher price might...
Last week we discussed the scenario of Hong Kong/China equity rebound due to the political environment change in China. HSI did end up close above the May open, creating a hammer candle in the monthly chart, and stood atop the 50 days moving average. Both showed strong bullishness from the chart perspective (Last week note here: )
As a continuation of the rebound...
Moving into the last month of Q2, the HSI has entered a very interesting zone, which might become a turning point that indicates the end of the current bearish trend. Whether the new trend will be a sustainable bull, or just a bigger consolidation band of a higher timeframe, we don’t know yet, but at least in the short term the trading opportunity will be on the...
This week was bloody for crypto related assets. Most coins had experienced a 20%+ drop in the past week. What also meaningful on the chart is that, BTC officially plunged through the low of 29200 that was made on 20-Jul-2021. This breakage should be marked as the confirmation of the bearish trend of BTC. With the increasing attention from the FED and white house...
