I now have two trade plans to enter BTC short. Preferred (By "Preferred, I just mean I think it's more likely / have trades more skewed to that): A sharp rally up to just over 51K. Some fast dips and spikes into the high starting somewhere over 50K. Fill limit orders in and around 51K. Possible add tight stops with PA signals. Contingent: Buy stop losses...
Out my buys because momentum sucks. Taking my short lower and also looking for perhaps a bigger uptrend. This might have already made the bull traps.
I think the next rally in stocks may turn into a failed rally and a sell-off. Currently long, short into a rally.
I think a sell-off is coming, but not yet. I think we'll see another rally. Plan to short into a rally. Keeping ,my stops tight here on the buy because if it did break it'd be ugly. I am generally a swing bear on indices. See linked.
Up quite a lot from my buy level. Expect a retrace now. Plan to buy into a dip. Will post updates if stopped out on change of plan or limits to buy later if it drops.
Sell limit set for the formation of a bearish head and shoulders. This might be the real sell off leg. Yesterday, an early warning - to those who pay attention. I revert to a full bear trade plan if the lows break, but I think the bull trap move much more likely.
Going to get back up to full short position into the next spike up. I think that'd mark out approx the end of the second bull trap. Probably work some longs to offset shorts into the near term momentum into 47K or so.
I think the retrace here will overshoot my original forecast by a bit (Linked). Expecting the sell to be off 51K. Buying now and planning to sell into a rally. Will revert to full bear plan if the lows break.
Not all that much to add on this one other than putting in some break levels and to say typically when this is working the bears should remain in overall control of the market for close to 10% (8% low end) to show they're strong. So looking to see 48K tagging, or thereabout. Mainly referring to linked ideas here. We may be entering into the first fall of the...
Bit early on last one. Slammed through the level but buying again now and closing off a larger chunk of my short to sell again at higher prices into a retrace. See linked. Price swing 2 complete.
Move in this morning's forecast complete (Linked). Expect us to set up a bull trap now. Taking profit on some shorts and buying retests of lows. Small spike out of lows is possible but this is probably getting fully extended for now.
Swings one and two complete. See attached. Now re-filling my short orders on BTC around 45K.
Support from previous entries looks good. Taking some momentum day trades in USDCAD long. See lined ideas.
We've now filled almost the full zone given in the upswing forecast (Linked) of 51 - 53K zone. Got stopped out some of my sells with tighter stops. Skipped out some of the momentum drawdown and now back up to full position between 52,500 - 52,700. In a break I expect to see us down to close to 44K before a bounce and then this bounce turning into a bull trap. No...
It's crunch time for this now. Either we're getting into the high or there's going to need to be serious review of my analysis because we'll be starting to get into the area where invalidation signals trigger. Adding to short 52K.
Looking for the break in this setting up. First warning sign is a big take out of the range here. If that happens, the next move is to look for a bull trap.
ADA might be setting up to make the first important break. There's some chance of a parabolic move against this position - so be aware of that - but if stops are well placed the RR is good.
I think we're due to see the USD breaking out soon. Nice bullish opportunities in the USD. See linked ideas below.