holeyprofit

holeyprofit Updated 

I think a sell-off is coming, but not yet. I think we'll see another rally. Plan to short into a rally. Keeping ,my stops tight here on the buy because if it did break it'd be ugly. I am generally a swing bear on indices. See linked.

holeyprofit Updated 

Up quite a lot from my buy level. Expect a retrace now. Plan to buy into a dip. Will post updates if stopped out on change of plan or limits to buy later if it drops.

holeyprofit

Sell limit set for the formation of a bearish head and shoulders. This might be the real sell off leg. Yesterday, an early warning - to those who pay attention. I revert to a full bear trade plan if the lows break, but I think the bull trap move much more likely.

holeyprofit Updated 

Going to get back up to full short position into the next spike up. I think that'd mark out approx the end of the second bull trap. Probably work some longs to offset shorts into the near term momentum into 47K or so.

holeyprofit

I think the retrace here will overshoot my original forecast by a bit (Linked). Expecting the sell to be off 51K. Buying now and planning to sell into a rally. Will revert to full bear plan if the lows break.

holeyprofit Updated 

Not all that much to add on this one other than putting in some break levels and to say typically when this is working the bears should remain in overall control of the market for close to 10% (8% low end) to show they're strong. So looking to see 48K tagging, or thereabout. Mainly referring to linked ideas here. We may be entering into the first fall of the...

holeyprofit Updated 

Bit early on last one. Slammed through the level but buying again now and closing off a larger chunk of my short to sell again at higher prices into a retrace. See linked. Price swing 2 complete.

holeyprofit Updated 

Move in this morning's forecast complete (Linked). Expect us to set up a bull trap now. Taking profit on some shorts and buying retests of lows. Small spike out of lows is possible but this is probably getting fully extended for now.

holeyprofit

Swings one and two complete. See attached. Now re-filling my short orders on BTC around 45K.

holeyprofit

Support from previous entries looks good. Taking some momentum day trades in USDCAD long. See lined ideas.

holeyprofit

We've now filled almost the full zone given in the upswing forecast (Linked) of 51 - 53K zone. Got stopped out some of my sells with tighter stops. Skipped out some of the momentum drawdown and now back up to full position between 52,500 - 52,700. In a break I expect to see us down to close to 44K before a bounce and then this bounce turning into a bull trap. No...

holeyprofit Updated 

It's crunch time for this now. Either we're getting into the high or there's going to need to be serious review of my analysis because we'll be starting to get into the area where invalidation signals trigger. Adding to short 52K.

holeyprofit Updated 

Looking for the break in this setting up. First warning sign is a big take out of the range here. If that happens, the next move is to look for a bull trap.

holeyprofit

ADA might be setting up to make the first important break. There's some chance of a parabolic move against this position - so be aware of that - but if stops are well placed the RR is good.

holeyprofit

I think we're due to see the USD breaking out soon. Nice bullish opportunities in the USD. See linked ideas below.

holeyprofit Updated 

Looks like the first break has been made and we're into the first correction. If there's big sellers in the market, these are the sorts of area they tend to be lurking.

holeyprofit

Into the major inflection point. This is where we're going to see if buyers or sellers control this market. Now I have my full position on.

holeyprofit

SPX has been trading a bit over the 161 fib of the March drop. This can be an area in which we see strong reversals. If you draw a fib from the high before the 2018 fall to the low before the 2019 rally, the fib of that comes in around where the SPX made a high in March 2020. And this has been a tendency of tops in the SPX/DJI/RUT/NQ (And everything, really) over...