humorousBear52981

humorousBear52981 Updated 

Valuation does not make sense (for a long time). I think we will see another round of volatility and decided finally to short it as a hedge against my long positions: GOOG, AMZN NVDA, TTD, NBIS,FSLR). Negative RSI divergence

humorousBear52981 Updated 

short at 1150 as a hedge. Good company but P/E of 50 does not make sense vs GOOG or AMZN

humorousBear52981 Updated 

while its not growing as it used to, but still revenue growth accelerated to 14%, NRR back to 100%, super quality new management accelerated product velocity, while maintianing EBITDA margin 40+% and FCF 15%. AI is a big tailwind, but they do not over invest in learning models and focus on inference. Going to resolve convertible debt issue by yearend. It's...

humorousBear52981 Updated 

Adding NVO, in addition to strong fundamentals (P/E as low as COVID) and leading positions in obesity market, clear RSI divergence spotted. May take couple of weeks to reverse Be well

humorousBear52981

Fundamentals do not justify current valuation. Short at 240 as a hedge to my GOOG and AMZN positions

humorousBear52981

Good company, fairly valued at this point. Px increased too fast and due for a correction. Shorting at 140 for 15-20% correction as a hedge

humorousBear52981 Updated 

Seems that nothing changed with the company fundamentals. Simply too oversold. Buying for a bounce.

humorousBear52981 Updated 

You all know the company. Valuation is very reasonable. Deepseek or no deepseek, TSM and other will buy their machines. Buying into earnings (2 days from now) as sentiment is extremely negative. Should be an easy beat.

humorousBear52981 Updated 

I think it's exhausted its uptrend. Selling short on rebound with Feb bear put spreads.

humorousBear52981 Updated 

Seems oversold on Scorpions report. Below intrinsic value based on purely financials. Saw somewhere flights reports. They seem to be doing OK.

humorousBear52981

Financials great, P/E 20 is very reasonable. Top line 20%+, LLY competition threats seems exaggerated. Last time was this oversold in 2017 and quickly rebounded. Impossible to replicate knowledge and ability to innovate. Started entry position at 78.5, will be DCA until it finds the bottom (if not already) Happy weekend

humorousBear52981 Updated 

Bought some before ER. Stock near ATH, but think has some potential for moving higher. No stop loss. It will be trading higher medium term anyway as fundamentals are one of the best in the sector

humorousBear52981 Updated 

20% Revenue CAGR 10% cash flow yield P/E 10 Semis manufacturers are cyclical and markets front-run it a bit. Think cyclical correction is nearly over