sell vol > buy vol; Moving down faster than up; fibonacci = OK The picture will change if a strong green bar with a large volume appears; A small correction is not excluded, but do not fall under the hammer.
Resistance 47,60 Support 46,90
Bears sell large volumes, but the price does not fall. The flag and the bullish divergence were formed.
Fooling the expectations of traders expecting to form the right shoulder, the price went up breaking through the resistance level. Now we are waiting for confirmation that the breakthrough was not false. The level of resistance can become a support level.
After strong sales last week, a very strong buyer should appear, able to expand the market. In the meantime, we are waiting for the moment to enter again into the shorts.
Bulls on smaller volumes push the price higher. The bears tried to push the price down with large volumes, but they did not have enough strength and they began to close their positions, which helped the bulls on the 3rd attempt to break through the resistance level.
Look at the triangle. To this end, I went from H4 to H1. Forming a diamond pattern.
Micro-correction is expected, which, when exiting the trend channel, may lead to the completion of correction in the long-term downward trend.
The overall picture for gold is positive, but it is possible to step back and after further growth.
Bulls are struggling with the level of correction of fib. 61.8. A short rebound from the resistance line prevented the bears from forming a second shoulder. Bulls are attacking.
I assume that from the level of 50.85 coinciding with the Fib. 61.8 bulls long-term will begin to close their positions.
Bulls do not give up, but to break through the resistance on the third touch of H4 did not work (yet?). If the bulls miss their chance, then a third vertex is formed on the chart - a reversal pattern.
This plan may change if a large negative volume appears on H4. With the formation of the right shoulder, there may be a correction in the uptrend.