I've been a vocal (probably obnoxiously vocal) doubter of the Russell 2000 for the last two weeks. I've also been very wrong! A longer-term perspective presents IWM has "Pinocchio'd" above upward channel resistance - although it did not close above resistance today (Friday, July 12th) and put in a rather bearish "hanging man" candle, this hasn't mattered to Mr....
Few extra lines drawn for our amusement. Going to $200!!! Not. Well, maybe. This is Bernanke we're talking about... Going to infinity! YES! Bernanke is GOD! Worship him!
IWM (Russell 2000) bumping into (Major) upper trend line resistance with 5 eWaves off 2011 lows. Let's see whatcha got, Bernanke.
Beware Head & Shoulders top. Crazy days ahead Wed - Fri with catalysts-a-plenty. Tough sledding for bulls and bears at the moment.
Tagged the top BB - we'll see if it expands higher or reverses lower. Still Short
A double could be in the cards for those brave enough to enter long.
It seems impossible for the $SPX to hit 1500 right now. 1500 is just getting started according to this Head & Shoulders Top formation.
H&S Top (I am short IWM via Puts) short opportunity before Friday's NFP. Targets 96.5 to 95 -- with stop at 99.12
BB tag should indicate high probability reversal point (overbought with dumb money). Head & Shoulders-like pattern targets 95 handle if/when triggered.
Failed Cup & Handle breakout then small inverse head & shoulders forms in an attempt to fill the gap. Implication is bearish and I will sell short when gap fill target is acquired. (Currently short IWM via Puts)
$35.50 support critical should it be tested prior to testing recent highs. Note selling pressure on recent candles.
TVIX could be setting up a run for the $5 handle and beyond, soon. I like it long here but do not have a position currently. (Short IWM via Puts at the time of writing.)
...to those who wait for a retest of the breakout area. Note reversal candle on the daily 07/01. Breakout level should hold before committing long. Good luck!
Purely hypothetical, but there could be a "Double Trouble" (one H&S on top of another) setup in IWM. Note the open gaps shaded in grey boxes. (Disclaimer - I am short IWM via Puts. Not a recommendation, just an observation! Thanks Kirk for the phrase "Double Trouble" used in the title of this post.)
Should the pattern in this chart trigger (break below 1530 on strong volume) a measured move to 1400 is in the cards with the potential to test the trend line from the 2009 bottom around 1350. Volume signature is a textbook example of what one looks for in a H&S top validation. Not sure what the catalyst will be that has the potential to instigate such a violent...