Double top formation at -0.70460. let's see if it can consolidate with a lower high on the 4 hour chart.
I was waiting for the top of trendline to hit but following announcement of RBA interest cut this did not happen. AUD has not been able to make a new high over the last day despite weakness in USD. Low risk trade to short presently.
this rising AUD has been one to stay away from. However with the looming RBA announcement on Tuesday which appears be a rising certainty of 25-50bps cut, this is a good time to get into a short position at the top of the long-term trading range with low risk. If it makes higher highs at .70600 area that would disprove the theory.
So now that AUD is heading further south we look for a return to .68700 and rejection to lower lows.
After closing out of a sharp run short Friday night it is time to watch and see if the AUDUSD bounced of the last line of resistance. If it fall through this Monday morning it is time to start selling heavily. I will try with a double position as breaking through this line indicates a global recession sentiment in my mind. Iron ore could then fall. AUD is...
Sensing weakness, cannot hold the .6950 level.
There are a lot of factors playing into a rising S&P500. Speculation on an interest rate cut. Trade war is hurting China. USD weakening it appears.
Counter-rally seems to have exhausted, Aus domestic data continues to look woeful.
Latest Australian economist forecasts is for 3-4 additional interest rate cuts over the next year as economy slows taking RBA rate to 0.5%. It is hard to see how this news will enable AUD to move any higher through .6930 resistance level. Take a stop just above.
I have opened two positions in the DXY given its sustained momentum over 97.50. The DXY will grind higher over the remainder of the year as growth in Europe slows. Stops set at 97.30 range.
The AUDUSD seems to have found support around the 68.7 range. It is worth a short trade on a reversion. Use a tight stop below the resistance area.
Is Gold forming a head and shoulders pattern? Has XAU ruin out of steam?
AUDUSD has rejected at .6932
If you missed selling at 0.72 I think there is still room for the AUD to fall due to weak sentiment for next CPI result. Selling will continue.
The AFR writes: "The futures market is sending a clear message that the Reserve Bank of Australia will cut the official cash rate at one of its next two meetings, with a cut during the election campaign now more likely than not." This is going to accelerate the interest rate differential on the AUD and trigger even further selling.
I have been short since .70140. I sold futher at 0.6930 and now the descending wedge has broken more selling can occur.
1283 area rejected twice, so it's time for a fall - especially as the USD rallies through this volatility.