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The Trump administration announced a 90-day tariff reprieve and reciprocal exemptions on smartphones and semiconductors. However, President Trump denied that this constitutes a tariff exemption, stressing that duties on items such as semiconductors and pharmaceuticals will be reimposed. Amid growing concerns over the impact of US tariff hikes on Eurozone...

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US equity markets plunged amid growing concerns that the Trump administration's tariffs, set to be announced on April 2, could be aggressively implemented. Goldman Sachs warned that US tariff rates could reach as high as 18%, potentially shaving 1.0% off GDP growth and pushing the unemployment rate to 4.5% this year. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda signaled...

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Bitcoin fell as investor hopes for a US strategic reserve plan were let down. Rather than accumulating cryptocurrencies, the US government held only its previously seized assets, triggering a price decline. However, large investors viewed the dip as a buying opportunity. Data reveals that whale and shark wallets acquired 5,000 Bitcoin during the downturn,...

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Investors withdrew over 30.7k BTC, lowering the bitcoin Balance on Exchanges to about 2.725 mln BTC, indicating lower market liquidity. ETF investors continue redeeming for the seventh consecutive day, with a two-day outflow totaling over 1300 mln USD. Reduced liquidity could trigger a sudden price rebound if selling pressure on ETF eases. BTCUSD broke...

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Persistent tariff threats from the Trump administration and rising concerns over the U.S. economy are weighing on the dollar. Trump reaffirmed his commitment to implementing tariffs on Mexico and Canada according to schedule and reiterated the need for reciprocal tariffs. Meanwhile, weak consumer confidence data further rattled investor sentiment, as the...

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The Eurozone CPI recorded a year-on-year increase of 2.5% (previous: 2.4%, consensus: 2.5%), fueling concerns over inflation. Belgian central bank governor Pierre Wunsch emphasized the need for caution against excessive rate cuts without sufficient awareness of risks. Meanwhile, Germany’s February Ifo Business Climate Index came in at 85.2 (previous: 85.2,...

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With the looming threat of an inflation rebound, demand for both gold and silver is skyrocketing, propelling the prices up. The Trump administration's continued threat of tariffs, along with the US CPI rising to 3.0% YoY (prev. 2.9%, cons. 2.9%) in Jan, has increased demand for inflation hedges. Meanwhile, rising pressure on gold prices, which have reached...

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Despite some resolution of tariff risks, USTEC failed to recover from the loss. In particular, big tech stocks with high overseas exposure fell sharply. Tesla (TSLA) fell 5.19% over concerns that Trump's tariff policy could harm the company, given that 15% of Model Y parts are sourced from Mexico and Canada. Apple (AAPL) also dropped 3.39% due to concerns that...

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Gold prices have surged to an all-time high as demand for safe haven increased significantly, driven by the concerns of Trump's tariff policy. The 25% tariff threats on Mexico and Canada are creating significant uncertainty in the trade and foreign relations of the Trump administration. Investors are turning to gold as a reliable refuge from the DeepSeek shock...

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Concerns about a UK recession are intensifying, making a BoE rate cut next month likely. The recent December retail sales data from the ONS reveals a decrease of 0.3% compared to the previous month, a stark contrast to the market's expectation of a 0.4% increase. This clearly indicates that consumer apprehension regarding the economic downturn is escalating...

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President Trump's steadfast dedication to lowering oil prices is driving the decline in WTI prices. During the WEF in Davos, Switzerland, he made it clear that he would demand Saudi Arabia and OPEC to reduce the price of crude oil. He boldly stated that lower oil prices could potentially lead to an end to the war in Ukraine. According to CSIS, Trump's call for...

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The short-term dollar weakness is leading to a notable appreciation of the euro. Within the ECB, there are varying opinions regarding the future rate trajectory, but the prevailing sentiment strongly leans towards the necessity of further rate cuts. ING Group is confident that the ECB will cut interest rates by an additional 25bp at its monetary policy meeting...

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Both short-term dollar weakness and the ECB’s increased inflation concerns have clearly propelled EURUSD upward. Finland's central bank governor, Oli Rehn, asserts that eurozone inflation will stabilize as anticipated and that monetary policy will continue to be constrained in the near future. Meanwhile, ECB President Lagarde has issued a stark warning that the...

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President Trump's recent phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping has created a strong expectation for a more conciliatory relationship with China. In response, the dollar, which had previously surged due to fears over tariffs and inflation, has begun to weaken and gold is on a consistent upward trajectory. Goldman Sachs firmly predicts that gold will...

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The dollar retreated further as the deceleration in core CPI for Dec increased the likelihood of a Fed rate cut. According to the CME FedWatch, the probability of a rate cut in June FOMC rose to 67% from 57%. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin stressed that inflation is approaching the 2% target again and price pressures were continuing to slow. Failed to...

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Oil prices surged to their highest point in five months following the US announcement of its intention to impose stricter sanctions on Russia's oil industry. Countries like China and India, previously reliant on Russian crude oil imports, are actively pursuing new sources of oil supply in the Middle East and Africa. Furthermore, the substantial surge in demand...

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The strong dollar is currently preventing gold prices from surpassing the critical 2695 resistance level. Nevertheless, gold prices are on a steady upward trajectory, driven by a strong demand for safe haven as investors flock to gold. This week, the direction of gold prices will hinge on the December CPI data. Markets anticipate that the CPI (YoY) will rise to...

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Bloomberg Economics reports that the Bank of England (BoE) is unlikely to keep cutting interest rates after 2025 due to an overheating economy and the risk of rising inflation. While BoE Governor Bailey anticipates four 25bp cuts next year, markets are skeptical about the central bank's ability to further reduce rates without igniting inflation. GBPUSD...