The dynamics of the US Treasury yield curve, particularly the spread between the 2-year and 10-year yields (US02Y/US10Y), have long been studied as potential indicators of economic health. One phenomenon that garners significant attention is the inversion and subsequent uninversion of this yield curve. Lets delve into what these terms mean, their historical...
The Yield Curve has been inverted for a long time, and as rates are about to go lower, it can finally un-invert. When the 2-year yield is higher than the 10-year yield, the chart is above 1.0 ; But once the 2-year yield dips below 10-year yield, the chart should drop below the 1.0 mark.
--- The carry trade - an investment strategy that takes advantage of differences in borrowing costs between countries - has provided bumper returns this year as most central banks have hiked rates, causing yields to rise, but at different paces. "The world's favourite carry trade," according to Bank of America, involves investors borrowing Japanese yen where the...
From 1st January 1985 the USD lost 64.13% of its purchasing power (according to BLS CPI) ; At the same time the nominal value of SPX index rose by 1594.95% Adjusted for CPI and dollar purchasing power loss, the real rise in the SPX is only 507.40% ; In other words, the SPX index price would have been $1372.41 right now if the USD kept the same value as it had on...
Market volatility and its expected future changes, as indicated by the VVIX/VIX ratio, can greatly impact investment decision-making. The following guide provides insights into different regimes of this ratio, their implications on market conditions, potential sector rotations, and additional investment strategies that investors might consider. High Ratio (High...
Watching the US Government Bonds yield curve is an important indicator for the upcoming economic conditions. When the yield curve inverts, such that bonds marked for fewer years have higher yields, that usually means a worsening economic condition. According to Investopedia: www.investopedia.com "An inverted yield curve is a noteworthy and uncommon event...
The chart shows how Treasury Bond Yields behave over time and each time they are "bunching up" with very small spreads, that is the time when a recession in the economy appears.
The "yield curve" of US treasuries represented as the difference of the 10-year and the 2-year; When this drops below zero, that is when everything gets really interesting.
The PPI in Germany rose this January 2022 at 25% above last year. If we look a bit further, it rose about 29% from 2020-05 which is about 1.5 years. Latest rise was 32 points, whatever these points are. When counting the same numbers from 1950 we see that it rose 32 points from about 1951 to 1981, which is 30 years. Easy comparison, 1.5 year this time vs. 30...
When the bars are above 1, that means Kucoin price is higher than Binance. When the bars are below 1, that means Binance price is below Kucoin. KUCOIN:ETHUSDT / BINANCE:ETHUSDT