During the December FOMC conference, the fed said the appropriate level for interest rate or the fed funds rate will be 4.6% at the end of 2024 from current 5.5%, 3.6% at the end of 2025, and 2.9% at the end of 2026. Many reporters take that as Fed’s hint to cut rate in 2024, but the Fed added saying these projections are not the committee decision or plan. So...
In 1930, when the Fed cut interest rates, the market crashed further. In today's tutorial, we will be comparing the 30s and today’s market to identify some of their similarities. Where exactly are interest rates’ direction pointing us? As we may have read, many analysts are forecasting that there will be a few rate cuts in 2024. Is this the best option? My work...
Global inflation often signifies a weakening of global currencies. The question of whether Bitcoin can serve as a hedge against a depreciating dollar has gained significant interest among investors. Or should it still be the Gold? In this study, we will analyse the top 8 cryptocurrencies to determine which one is a more reliable currency hedge. Bitcoin & Its...
Why has gold broken above the $2,000 level? And why is it likely to stay this way for a long time? This is because the USD has been weakening since October, and we can observe an inverse relationship between them during this period, as well as in previous periods. Micro Gold Futures & Its Minimum Fluctuation 0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00 Code: MGC Disclaimer: • ...
Gone are the days of passive investing, but mid-term trading could be the solution. The term passive investing was first made famous by Warren Buffet, who once said, 'If I like a stock, I will hold it forever.' However, in recent years, he has been seen cutting losses on his wrong decisions and taking profits when he finds the time is right. The dynamic of the...
Video tutorial: • How to identify downtrend and uptrend line • How to draw parallel channel correctly • Confirming a change in trend (using trendline itself) • Managing positions with parallel lines - Profits - Risks - Knowing its volatility Micro Natural Gas Futures & Its Minimum Fluctuation 0.001 per MMBtu = $1.00 Code: MNG Disclaimer: • ...
This video tutorial discussion: • What is QE and QT? • Each impact to the stock market • The latest QT, how will the stock market into 2024? Dow Jones Futures & Its Minimum Fluctuation E-mini Dow Jones Futures 1.0 index point = $5.00 Code: YM Micro E-mini Dow Jones Futures 1.0 index point = $0.50 Code: MYM Disclaimer: • What presented here is...
This video tutorial, we will learn the difference between: • Interest rates and yield • Healthy yield curve and an inverted one and • The risks and opportunities with a prolong inverted yield curve (since March 2022) Micro Treasury Yields & Its Minimum Fluctuation Micro 2-Year Yield Futures Ticker: 2YY 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) =...
U.S. equities are unsuitable for passive investors since 2022 and onwards, and likely many more years to come. In this video tutorial, we explain the reasons why and how we can re-strategize our investment. Trading into Nasdaq - E-mini Nasdaq Futures and Options: Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $5.00 Code: NQ Micro E-mini Nasdaq and Options: Minimum...
In this video tutorial, we discussed which of these 6 major asset classes reacted the most initially during a major geopolitical conflict and what its implications are. Micro Gold Futures and Options: 0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00 Code: MGC Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our...
Paris Agreement in 2015 with a "net-zero emissions" mission by 2050. Is the world ready for it? Who is doing it correctly and will the rest able to follow? Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures and Options : Minimum fluctuation: 0.001 per MMBtu = $10.00 Code: NG Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed...
Why is Dow Jones a better indicator to measure the coming recession? Reference for trading: E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $5 Micro E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed...
We will find out how to determine if a recession is imminent through a comparative study of GDP and the S&P Index. S&P Index: • E-Mini S&P Futures & Options Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $12.50 Code: ES • Micro E-mini S&P 500 Index Futures & Option Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $1.25 Code: MES Disclaimer: • What presented...
higher US rates, the US dollar should be trading higher. But inversely, the US dollar became weaker since September last year. In today’s tutorial, we will discuss what is the cause of a weaker US dollar and the future of the US dollar; despite US interest rates could go higher than expected. Bond trading: • US Treasury Bond futures Minimum fluctuation: 1/32...
Core CPI vs CPI - Some say core CPI is a better benchmark compare to CPI data to track inflation. Knowing which way CPI inflation is going, it will sharpen our investment decision? If CPI inflation is still trending up, majority of stocks will be under pressure. However, there will be other sectors will benefit from a rising inflation. In this tutorial, we will...
The collapse of UK bonds has caused Liz Truss to leave office, making her the shortest-serving prime minister in the UK. With the downgrade of US bonds from AAA to AA+, what will their fate be? Even though the 30-year bonds' current coupon or yield is above 4%, we are going to study the future trend of US bonds in 2023 and beyond. Is a crash in US savings bonds...
In this video, we are studying the time lag between commodities, inflation data, and central bank decisions. 3 types of crude oil for trading: • Crude Oil Futures 0.01 per barrel = $10.00 Code: CL • E-mini Crude Oil Futures 0.025 per barrel = $12.50 Code QM • Micro WTI Crude Oil 0.01 per barrel = $1.00 Code MCL Disclaimer: • What presented here is...
Throughout the entirety of last year, it was a period marked by bearishness, and I believe that many of us have forgotten about it. However, at the beginning of 2023, the market suddenly shifted to a bullish trend. There are three reasons attributed to the bullish trend during the first and second quarters: 1) The onset of an AI rush. 2) The apparent taming of...