konhow

06:59

konhow Wizard

AI investment – A boom or hype? Money is thrown at companies that have neither earnings nor an innovative product nor the right expertise. For example, French startup Mistral AI didn’t have a working product when it raised €105 million ($118 million) in one of Europe’s largest-ever seed rounds last month. Some investors and people in the industry are worried the...

konhow Wizard

The last 50 years, we have seen gold, commodities, and inflation numbers move in cycles and in tandem together. Though gold has picked up in recent years, make no mistake, the cycle between them is still intact. If gold is leading the way, the rest should catch up subsequently. Gold will likely remain high because of the easy money policy over the decades or...

06:16

konhow Wizard

In this video analysis, I will walk you through 3 keys: 1. My observation on these cycles 2. The super charge in the Gold, how that affect the commodities subsequently? 3. How about inflation? Will it settle at 3%? Some reference for traders: Chicago SRW Wheat Futures & Options – Its Minimum Fluctuation 1/4 of one cent (0.0025) per bushel = $12.50 / ZW Gold...

konhow Wizard

Out of the approximately 4,000 banks in the United States, it seems like JP Morgan is the only bank from this top 4 banks we are seeing here that has climbed back up from the March banking crisis. The rest are still well below their March levels. What about the other thousands of banks? Is inflation fear over? We observed an improvement in the CPI numbers,...

06:38

konhow Wizard

We saw an improvement in the CPI numbers at 3%, but the PCE number is what Fed is concerned with as it is still lingering around its high point. Out of the approximately 4,000 banks in the United States, it seems like JP Morgan, among these top 7 banks we are seeing here, is the only bank that has climbed back up from the March banking crisis. The rest are still...

konhow Wizard

As projected at the beginning of the year, the bull market began after the third week of 2023, shortly after crossing above the secondary downtrend line. It appears that this bull market may be nearing its end, and there is a possibility that it will enter into a range for the remainder of the year. Here is a hypothetical scenario based on the current data and...

08:38

konhow Wizard

To understand “Qantamental” investment approach, we first have to understand the quant and qualitative approach: • Quantitative approaches or Quant, often employed by quants, have the advantage of being data-driven and objective. They can process large amounts of information quickly, identify patterns, and execute trades with precision. Quantitative models can...

08:03

konhow Wizard

Both technical and fundamental aspects align in this view: The US markets bull may be ending soon and range have just begun. Watch video for its technical reason. For its fundamental - There are 2 key areas of concern from Jerome Powell and he has been consistent with his statement in almost all the meetings: 1. Inflation - “Inflation remains well above...

11:33

konhow Wizard

First, when we analyze a chart or a market, we always study its left side. The left side represents the history of events, market developments, and human behaviors such as greed, fear, and confidence. It also includes insider trading based on those events and developments. Therefore, it is important to analyze as far back as possible. In my chart, I can see all...

08:14

konhow Wizard

“A bear market starts with greed, followed by confusion, sells on fear and ends with hopelessness” - By me! 'Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria." - John Templeton Apply this bear to bull transition with good market sense because some of the bears went into hibernation, not able to wake up at all, for...

konhow Wizard

Sir John Templeton said: “Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria.” Pessimism: Following the 2008 crisis, the global economy was engulfed in a cloud of pessimism. Investors were gripped by fear and uncertainty as financial institutions crumbled, economies contracted, and unemployment soared. Stock markets...

10:18

konhow Wizard

The last cycle expansion phase or the euphoric stage, has already occurred between 2020 and 2021. Sir John Templeton said: “Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria.” Reference of Nasdaq: E-mini Nasdaq-100 & Opt Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $5.00 Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index & Opt Minimum...

07:41

konhow Wizard

This will be the 2 questions we will be discussing today 1. So, what is happening on this divergence and its implication? 2. And who is leading who? a. Large cap leading the mid-to-small cap market? Or b. The mid-to-small cap leading the large cap market? The answer: The mid-to-small cap is leading the large cap market and why is it so? If...

07:20

konhow Wizard

• First, the bank run APPEARS to have stabilized • Second, the inflation SEEMS to be taming Do not be complacent, keep on keeping track of the coming market developments. Just like what Jerome Powell said on the 3rd May after the latest interest rate hike, in the meeting conference, he said “We will take a data-dependent approach, our future policy will depend...

08:37

konhow Wizard

Russell represents the true economy of United States. There are 2,000 medium size companies with each value between $300m to $2b. The index includes a diverse range of companies from various sectors, including financials, healthcare, consumer goods, industrials, and technology. In my opinion Russell represents the true economy of united states. If the bank run...

konhow Wizard

We have an inverted yield curve today - When the near end yields or interest rates is higher than the far end, we have an inverted yield. What is its implication and any attributes? To understand the implications of an inverted yield curve, it is crucial to know what a yield curve is and how it works. A healthy yield curve – It shows the relationship between...

09:49

konhow Wizard

When the yield of the 3-month bond is higher than the 30-year bond yield, this is known as an inverted yield curve. It is a rare and unusual occurrence and we are seeing this today. This signals a potential economic recession in the future. An inverted yield curve suggests that investors have a pessimistic outlook for the future of the economy. They are willing...

konhow Wizard

I have broken it into 2 parts. Part 1 – we can associate it with the sequence then. Part 2 – we can take reference as the situation unfolds. Part 1 - 1929 sequence that seems familiar today: a) Crisis triggered by several factors b) Stocks rose rapidly c) Chain reaction of events d) Bank had invested heavily e) Bank failed Part 2 - As it continued in...