konhow

06:22

konhow Wizard

US exports have reached its record low, even lower than during the Covid period. What is happening and how will this impact the GDP subsequently and also the stock markets? Export number is the leading indicator of GDP, and GDP is the leading indicator of the stock market. GDP = C + I + G + (X-M) C = Consumer spending I = Investment G = Government spending X...

07:29

konhow Wizard

This video recording, a brief history of the China Yuan through these 5 stages. My main aim is to derive the fair value of the present Yuan and into the future. Reference for trading in CME USD/Offshore RMB (CNH) Futures Minimum fluctuation 0.0001 per USD increment = 10 CNH Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult...

07:42

konhow Wizard

Video discussion: 1. What will happen to the US bonds themselves? 2. What will be the impact on the US dollar and other currencies? 3. How will inflation be affected? We will also discuss the relationship between the US Bond, US Dollar and all the other Currencies. Reference for trading in currencies: CME Euro FX Futures & Options Minimum...

07:57

konhow Wizard

Today, we are going to study how a market bubble is like before it crashes. We saw this pattern in the dot-com bubble, as well as in the 08-housing bubble. The recent setup suggests that we might be observing a bubble that has already popped. There are three stages in recognizing a resolution of a market bubble. Meaning has a market bubble been resolved or if...

06:59

konhow Wizard

AI investment – A boom or hype? Money is thrown at companies that have neither earnings nor an innovative product nor the right expertise. For example, French startup Mistral AI didn’t have a working product when it raised €105 million ($118 million) in one of Europe’s largest-ever seed rounds last month. Some investors and people in the industry are worried the...

konhow Wizard

The last 50 years, we have seen gold, commodities, and inflation numbers move in cycles and in tandem together. Though gold has picked up in recent years, make no mistake, the cycle between them is still intact. If gold is leading the way, the rest should catch up subsequently. Gold will likely remain high because of the easy money policy over the decades or...

06:16

konhow Wizard

In this video analysis, I will walk you through 3 keys: 1. My observation on these cycles 2. The super charge in the Gold, how that affect the commodities subsequently? 3. How about inflation? Will it settle at 3%? Some reference for traders: Chicago SRW Wheat Futures & Options – Its Minimum Fluctuation 1/4 of one cent (0.0025) per bushel = $12.50 / ZW Gold...

konhow Wizard

Out of the approximately 4,000 banks in the United States, it seems like JP Morgan is the only bank from this top 4 banks we are seeing here that has climbed back up from the March banking crisis. The rest are still well below their March levels. What about the other thousands of banks? Is inflation fear over? We observed an improvement in the CPI numbers,...

06:38

konhow Wizard

We saw an improvement in the CPI numbers at 3%, but the PCE number is what Fed is concerned with as it is still lingering around its high point. Out of the approximately 4,000 banks in the United States, it seems like JP Morgan, among these top 7 banks we are seeing here, is the only bank that has climbed back up from the March banking crisis. The rest are still...

konhow Wizard

As projected at the beginning of the year, the bull market began after the third week of 2023, shortly after crossing above the secondary downtrend line. It appears that this bull market may be nearing its end, and there is a possibility that it will enter into a range for the remainder of the year. Here is a hypothetical scenario based on the current data and...

08:38

konhow Wizard

To understand “Qantamental” investment approach, we first have to understand the quant and qualitative approach: • Quantitative approaches or Quant, often employed by quants, have the advantage of being data-driven and objective. They can process large amounts of information quickly, identify patterns, and execute trades with precision. Quantitative models can...

08:03

konhow Wizard

Both technical and fundamental aspects align in this view: The US markets bull may be ending soon and range have just begun. Watch video for its technical reason. For its fundamental - There are 2 key areas of concern from Jerome Powell and he has been consistent with his statement in almost all the meetings: 1. Inflation - “Inflation remains well above...

11:33

konhow Wizard

First, when we analyze a chart or a market, we always study its left side. The left side represents the history of events, market developments, and human behaviors such as greed, fear, and confidence. It also includes insider trading based on those events and developments. Therefore, it is important to analyze as far back as possible. In my chart, I can see all...

08:14

konhow Wizard

“A bear market starts with greed, followed by confusion, sells on fear and ends with hopelessness” - By me! 'Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria." - John Templeton Apply this bear to bull transition with good market sense because some of the bears went into hibernation, not able to wake up at all, for...

konhow Wizard

Sir John Templeton said: “Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria.” Pessimism: Following the 2008 crisis, the global economy was engulfed in a cloud of pessimism. Investors were gripped by fear and uncertainty as financial institutions crumbled, economies contracted, and unemployment soared. Stock markets...

10:18

konhow Wizard

The last cycle expansion phase or the euphoric stage, has already occurred between 2020 and 2021. Sir John Templeton said: “Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria.” Reference of Nasdaq: E-mini Nasdaq-100 & Opt Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $5.00 Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index & Opt Minimum...

07:41

konhow Wizard

This will be the 2 questions we will be discussing today 1. So, what is happening on this divergence and its implication? 2. And who is leading who? a. Large cap leading the mid-to-small cap market? Or b. The mid-to-small cap leading the large cap market? The answer: The mid-to-small cap is leading the large cap market and why is it so? If...

07:20

konhow Wizard

• First, the bank run APPEARS to have stabilized • Second, the inflation SEEMS to be taming Do not be complacent, keep on keeping track of the coming market developments. Just like what Jerome Powell said on the 3rd May after the latest interest rate hike, in the meeting conference, he said “We will take a data-dependent approach, our future policy will depend...