Dollar overbought by now, potentially could test 78-79 area. Sanctions details are foggy by now, movement will follow details. Not everybody in ruble zone is covered obviously.
Russia has concentrated large amount of military units near Ukraine, so maybe actual military actions should correspond to break higher of 82-86 level. But this breakout can be done artificially, thus avoiding many unnecessary casualties. This was in newest history once, when Crimea was annexed without a shot. On the other hand, some time after there were active...
Ruble should get some revenge before strengthening again. DXY grows and may take some carry positions out.
Rejection on first Fibo support, new strong uptrend starts soon.
High velocity growth switched to profit taking. Moving to the line that was broken earlier. From there USDRUB could continue its way up.
Looks like big player have used the retracement to refill chips. If price will stand still at 72-73, not going under 72 support implying that breakthrough was false, we're going up again. Wait some time, preferably no deals.
We didn't touch resistance at 73 and moved into deep correction. Will wait for powerful move through resistance to new heights, at least 75-76.
At least 14000 will be reached before next trend turn
Support near 70.5 have been testing for a week, and not defeated. Price moved up and now old strong resistance at 72.5-73 is on the way. Awaiting price to move in corridor 70.5-73 until some news will be arrived.
Now is profit taking wave, then await break to the top and down. On greater time frame that may be Double top
In late-to-recession business cycle phase i suppose down-side breakout
We are too far from common sense "normal" growth rate. In current circumstances, long-term proved rate looks more reasonable.