leoum

leoum

My latest deep dive into the Bitcoin market cycles has led me to an intriguing observation: the use of ark-shaped trend lines could be pivotal in navigating this segment of the cycle. The Wychoff markup phase In my article, I explore how these curves can be applied to understand the price dynamics better. The essence of this approach lies in recognizing that...

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The Wyckoff Method and Bitcoin's Distribution Phase The Wyckoff Method identifies four distinct phases in a market cycle: Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and Markdown. The Distribution phase is the antithesis of Accumulation. While smart money was quietly accumulating Bitcoin during the Accumulation phase, they are now discreetly selling their holdings during...

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This chart focuses on the Markup phase, examining how Bitcoin's unique characteristics create a powerful feedback loop that accelerates price growth. Bitcoin's Markup Phase: The Upward Slope and its Drivers The Markup phase for Bitcoin is characterized by a rapid price increase following a period of Accumulation. In this phase, price does not simply creep higher;...

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A side by side comparison of the current bitcoin cycle with the previous bitcoin cycle. nalyzing market cycles is key to understanding future trends. This chart shows how the current cycle's expectations align perfectly with previous dynamics. The comparison is make in the timing after the halvening event. Each zone (green, yellow, red, orange, blue) is placed at...

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How to Estimate the Timing for the Next Bitcoin Top? There are two very important reference points linked to the most influential Bitcoin events each cycle: 1. 340 days after the halving, pointing to March 26, 2025. 2. 390 days after the US elections, pointing to November 30, 2025. We need to observe how these two points will play out in this cycle. This idea...

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Bitcoin Rainbow Wave: A Chart's Journey This indicator humorously maps Bitcoin's price journey: Banana Zone: Marks the start of the bull run, where prices begin to rise. Moon Zone: Represents the peak where Bitcoin aims for astronomical highs. Red "No-Miss" Zone: The expected top; here, the market might hit its zenith before correction. For a...

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Let's chart the Ratio: (Total 2 - (USDT + USDC)) / (USDT + USDC) This indicator currently shows an increased liquidity coming to alt market. Total 2: This is the total market cap of all cryptocurrencies except Bitcoin. This essentially gives you an idea of the market size for altcoins. USDT + USDC: Represents the combined market cap of Tether and USD Coin,...

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This chart presents Ethereum in view of the waves imposed by Bitcoin waves (see my other indicators). Since the Total market cap very much depends on and highly correlated with the bitcoin halving waves we observe the harmonic waves in other major crypto assets. These waves are modeled manually and could be used for reference in order to estimate the magnitude...

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This is the Bitcoin Rainbow Wave channel to forcast the 2024-2025 bull crypto bull run. The raging phase of the bull run started November 5, 2024 and will last until March-April according the the indicator. The posts from X show how this "parabolic" phase was predicted by the indicator in recent weeks.

leoum

Bitcoin dominance shows the waves following the main crypto cycles imposed by halving events. The whole crypto market breaths in waves. The current top may signify the soon to come strong alt season.

leoum

Last cycle bitcoin brefly broke the lower support band of the Rainbow Wave model. This event happened exactly 10% after the 3rd halving event (around block #630k + 21k). This time it also broke brifly the lower support band at the block #840k + 21k, which is 10% from the halving #4. Whatch what happens after this event!

leoum

Bitcoin bounces off Rainbow Wave support. Fair value ~90K, range 55K-147K. Expect this zone to hold for years!

leoum

Prediction of the Bitcoin price using the Rainbow Wave model The Bitcoin Rainbow Wave indicator, based on a combination of logarithmic regression and damped harmonic oscillations, offers a unique perspective on the long-term price trends of Bitcoin. According to this model, the recent price drop in August reached its bottom, as predicted. Currently, the...

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Bitcoin has just bounced off the lower boundary of the wave range. Wave boundaries very accurately model the possible price fluctuation range around the wave trend. With the seeming sideways movement, the price made a dash from the very top to the very bottom. What a perfect touch at the 49k level!

leoum Updated 

Trading Idea: Accurately Predicting Bitcoin's Next Cycle Peak with Bitcoin Rainbow Wave Introduction Accurately predicting market tops is a grail-like pursuit for many traders. While it's impossible to pinpoint the exact peak with absolute certainty, technical analysis tools can provide valuable insights into potential price zones. Bitcoin Rainbow Wave emerges...

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The Bitcoin Rainbow Wave, a model by @leoum, suggests that Bitcoin is saying goodbye to prices below 60k. It's expected to break this level soon and never look back. The next dip is predicted for July 2026 (around block heights 950-980k), potentially reaching a low point just under 75k, but never falling below 60k. Bitcoin is bidding adieu to prices below 60k, a...

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With its recent fall below the Power Law trend line bitcoin is making possible to make up to 4x in exactly 365 days. Bitcoin wave models, suggesting a price of $230,000 by next Independence Day could be within reach. This projection assumes a starting price of $57,500 and a 4x increase over 365 days. The calculations are as follows: 57 500*4=230 000. July 4,...

leoum Updated 

After each halving event in the past bitcoin price tend to come back to the blue "buy zone". Currently bitcoin price toched the 15 year long Power Law trend (green line). It is the perfect line to bounce off. However, if we analyze the previous 3 halving events we will see that the blue zone was hit each time after halving. In the current cycle this means that...