I loved my title :) haha if you're reading this: I intrigued you! And I made you read it. ☺️ thankyou!
Ok, This is what I think about why we might be near the bottom.
The 200 EMA on a weekly scale has been a very selective indicator to indicate this. Above, you can see how the chart touches the candle when the market is oversold (as indicated by RSI below)....