marshyyy

marshyyy

This chart visualises a powerful relationship — stablecoin dominance (USDT.D + USDC.D) versus OTHERS dominance (i.e. altcoins excluding BTC and ETH). Put simply: When this chart moves down, stablecoins are flowing into altcoins — risk-on behavior, altseason ignites. When it moves up, capital rotates back into stables — risk-off behavior, weakness across...

marshyyy

This chart might not get as much attention as BTC dominance or TOTAL, but Bitcoin volatility (BVOL) is one of the cleanest leading indicators when it comes to identifying market tops and bottoms. Just look at the history — every major macro top or bottom in BTC price has correlated with a peak or trough in this chart. Whether it was the ATH in March 2024, the...

marshyyy

Initially in my last update, I was expecting USDT.D to push into daily supply levels after taking the swing low from the prior daily higher low — pulling back into supply before continuing lower after the market structure break. Instead, it pushed even deeper, taking out the range low swing at 4.56%, which allowed BTC to break higher and tag its ATH by taking...

marshyyy

BTC Update Well due update here... Since my last forecast, price pushed higher without giving the pullback I was anticipating — instead sweeping liquidity above the prior ATH. After taking that BSL, price stalled and has since been ranging, showing clear signs of bearish momentum creeping in. We're seeing bearish orderflow on the LTF and daily, and volume is...

marshyyy

Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Structure – Technical Breakdown This chart examines Bitcoin’s historical 4-year cycle behaviour, focusing on the repeating market structure observed across the last three cycles: Bull Market → Bear Market → Accumulation/Recovery → Halving → Expansion. Key Observations: 🔹 Cycle Timing Consistency Each of the past three cycles has shown a...

marshyyy

Im monitoring for something like this on DOGE with the plan to DCA as it takes SSL and comes into the range low and demand. Looking a little weak here with signs on majors of weakness, i can see this going into the SSL and lower demand areas marked. Still seeing this as a large range development and looking for a HTF bullish reversal to form in this...

marshyyy

Price rejected from the 3M HTF supply and major BSL on the prior highs. Price has now gave a confirmed 1W bearish market shift, indicating a market wide altcoin reversal is playing out and the next bullish impulse higher isnt far off.... Watching for rejections in this weekly supply on this pair as marked and looking for a bearish daily market shift to give...

marshyyy

An interesting chart with BSL still to take and pushing for it. If you study the time cycle of last cycles altcoin season you will see that it occurred after this chart took the range highs and BSL and then distributed from there to new lows I believe we are seeing the same scenario setting up in this chart and data with it pushing to the BSL and range highs...

marshyyy

Just toying with ideas of what may be developing here so dont take the chart as what i think will happen perfectly as shown. With the strength seen from BTC.D atm, it looks more and more likely it may go for the highs again and into the higher levels above 65%. I still see this as a very large range from the february high and lows that got put in and the prior...

marshyyy

USDT.D Update: Its been a while since my last USDT.D update on here since i accurately forecasted and called the top in September last year from its last distribution range. Since then, Ive been expecting USDT.D and USDC.D to continue higher into deeper premiums and into monthly and 3M supply areas, taking further BSL in the process and coming into the HTF...

marshyyy

Morning all! So its time for a proper set of markups having spent the last few months breaking down the charts in video format for you all. The last BTC update I gave was on 24/03, in the 4 year cycle analysis breakdown. In that video i was expecting lower pricing into SSL and the range lows once more, forming a bottoming structure before seeing a HTF bullish...

marshyyy

DXY has finally started to give bearish indications from HTF monthly supply and i think history is likely to repeat itself here, similar to trumps last term, where he wanted to weaken the dollar and is wanting to do the same again this term! With this in mind, the technicals are also aligning with this thesis as DXY looks more and more topped out as it hits...

marshyyy

USDC.D Looking bearish as hell here in its Wyckoff distribution range. Compare it to USDT.D and see the similarities. The difference being USDC.D is leading here and weaker, compared with USDT.D. Both still look great for the downside here and its only a matter of time before they roll over and the market runs to new highs! USDC.D: USDT.D: Once this breaks...

marshyyy

Im loving the look of USDT.D right now, it looks so bearish with the recent HTF closes. It looks done for and in the perfect wyckoff distribution. Following the plan to a T, rejecting off the 5.90% level as discussed in the prior analysis where this was a key resistance level from the first PSY event. Price has refused to push to the upper limit of the range,...

marshyyy

Price come into the monthly demand at the $1.8 trillion level and we have since formed range conditions after a selling climax event with a massive volume rejection on the weekly and daily wicks into the monthly demand range as shown on the chart. This was also discussed and noted on 05/08 at the height of the crash where i noted the presence of high volume being...

marshyyy

Price come into the monthly demand at the $1.8 trillion level and we have since formed range conditions after a selling climax event with a massive volume rejection on the weekly and daily wicks into the monthly demand range as shown on the chart. This was also discussed and noted on 05/08 at the height of the crash where i noted the presence of high volume being...

marshyyy

So when we look just at the Global M2 money supply, we can see its increasing and sharply. However, when you look at BTC, BTC is lagging behind, and the increase in M2 Global supply has yet to have an effect on BTC where we would expect to see a price increase as M2 money supply increases. If you compare the M2 Global money supply against S&P500 though, it tells...

marshyyy

So when we look just at the Global M2 money supply, we can see its increasing and sharply. However, when you look at BTC, BTC is lagging behind, and the increase in M2 Global supply has yet to have an effect on BTC where we would expect to see a price increase as M2 money supply increases. If you compare the M2 Global money supply against S&P500 though, it tells...