Quick Update, As we finish up the month of September and step into October, the US presidential election is right around the corner for November 1. I believe this will create some market volatility upon election results, and any drama following the event that we are likely to see. Gold and Silver look like they may be starting to consolidate here. After a...
It's been a while since I have made any public posts on the markets, so I thought I would share my outlook. A lot of people are focusing on inflation, which is a reality. Though, many are forgetting the deflationary spikes and liquidity issues that come as things charge higher. I think in the Ultra Macro we are in a 1926 or 2006 type situation. Everything is...
The precious metals market is on a rampage, and if the trend continues without government intervention, this is how I believe things will play out. Please keep in mind, I do not have a crystal ball. Things can and will change. For example, if the federal reserve starts tightening through interest rates because their motive becomes focused on maintaining dollar...
If you were to devalue the US Dollar in real time as M1 money supply increases, it would price in inflation immediately. M1 money supply is the amount of liquid available currency within the federal reserve system. Compare this chart to the current Silver chart and it will give you a glimpse into the future for Silver. To quantify this into a Silver price, take...
If you were to devalue the US Dollar in real time as M1 money supply increases, it would price in inflation in immediately. M1 money supply is the amount of liquid available currency within the federal reserve system. Compare this chart to the current Gold chart and it will give you a glimpse into the future for gold. To quantify this into a gold price, take...
Capital has been flowing into the tech sector since March of 2020. The only well known US tech company that I could find that wasn't hitting all time highs was NASDAQ:DBX . Low price shouldn't be the only reason you buy shares of a company. There needs to be other factors that confirm your contrarian bias. Fundamentally what I know about DropBox, is their...
Welcome to my series of macro outlooks where I put together threads focused on long term perspectives for major asset classes. My goal is to provide you with a long term view that I update on a monthly and sometimes weekly basis so that you can have the means to make wise and calculated trades in the shorter term. I have threads for assets that are typically...
Welcome to my series of macro outlooks where I put together threads focused on long term perspectives for major asset classes. My goal is to provide you with a long term view that I update on a monthly and sometimes weekly basis so that you can have the means to make wise and calculated trades in the shorter term. I have threads for assets that are typically...
Welcome to my series of macro outlooks where I put together threads focused on long term perspectives for major asset classes. My goal is to provide you with a long term view that I update on a monthly and sometimes weekly basis so that you can have the means to make wise and calculated trades in the shorter term. I have threads for assets that are typically...
Welcome to my series of macro outlooks where I put together threads focused on long term perspectives for major asset classes. My goal is to provide you with a long term view that I update on a monthly and sometimes weekly basis so that you can have the means to make wise and calculated trades in the shorter term. I have threads for assets that are typically...
Welcome to my series of macro outlooks where I put together threads focused on long term perspectives for major asset classes. My goal is to provide you with a long term view that I update on a monthly and sometimes weekly basis so that you can have the means to make wise and calculated trades in the shorter term. I have threads for assets that are typically...
Welcome to the first of my macro market ideas. My goal is to have a post for each market sector to give you a long term perspective of the given asset class, so that you are able to drill down to smaller time frames and make wise and calculated trades. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has market data on TradingView going all the way back to 1915. Since the Dow...
Good evening everyone. I hope you all are having a lovely Christmas season, prepping for a new year of continuing your pursuit of your goals and ambitions. Make sure during this time you look at investments with objectivity, removing any new year hype that may come along with this time of year. I looked at silvercrest metals about a year ago with quite a bit of...
Bitcoin's volatility this past year has grabbed the attention of many traders and investors that have been out of the crypto market since the drop below $6,000 in 2018. It's got people asking if this thing has still got legs. I believe it does, but won't be for the faint of heart. The assets with the greatest returns typically have a high amount of volatility....
For those of you that haven't seen this chart yet, this is a logarithmic chart of Bitcoin . Essentially the difference between this chart and a regular chart, is that a percentage movement in either direction is seen as the same difference. It allows investors to see patterns that might otherwise be ignored on the regular charts. As I've identified with the blue...
The bear market of spot Uranium has dragged down the price of the subsequent uranium miner stocks, including UUUU . This stock in particular experienced a very steep mark down period during the time of the Fukushima reactor meltdown. This event left a bad taste in the mouth and as a result, many stepped away from using nuclear energy to the same extent to meet...
Let's face it, the more people making a certain call in any given market, the less likely it is to occur. While the world is crying for an eminent recession, a stock market crash, and an explosion in the price precious metals, contrarians are searching for the max pain scenario. For 2020, I see a sideways movement in dollar strength, a coming increase in treasury...
You know what they say, "cash is trash." While that may be true from a long-term investment perspective, I find the dollar to be one of the most important financial tools in an investors tool belt. Having a pulse on the dollar can give you an advanced perspective on all other markets. Since all goods, services, companies, and commodities are priced in dollars, we...